ATL: INGRID - Remnants - Discussion

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Tireman4
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#181 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:40 pm

Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

Off topic, gents. Let's keep focused on 93L please. Thanks!



Yes sir. There is still hope for us with 93L. Still hope.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#182 Postby Portastorm » Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:43 pm

Dave wrote:
Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

Off topic, gents. Let's keep focused on 93L please. Thanks!


Busted!! Back to the tropics....but even a mod has to do it once in awhile! ;)


I've never done it ... say, by the way, are the leaves changing up there yet?! :lol:

Back to 93L ...
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#183 Postby Dave » Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:44 pm

Invest 93L (large graphics file)

http://www.fallsky.com/93/4.jpg
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Re:

#184 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:46 pm

Dave wrote:Invest 93L (large graphics file)

http://www.fallsky.com/93/4.jpg


Good photo.
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#185 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:06 pm

It almost looks like a TD to my eye...although we need an ASCAT pass to prove.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#186 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:13 pm

It finally got off the 18N latitude on the 18z Best Track that was for the past 24 hours.

AL, 93, 2013091118, , BEST, 0, 183N, 893W, 25, 1008, DB

Moving from 270 degrees to 280 degrees.

LATCUR = 18.3N LONCUR = 89.3W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
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#187 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:14 pm

11/1732 UTC 18.1N 88.8W OVERLAND 93L -- Atlantic
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#188 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:14 pm

Looks to be moving at a pretty good clip now. I would not be surprised if 93l made it to the BOC later tonight.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/93L/flash-vis-long.html
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#189 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:17 pm

this will be over the water

development chances seem strange. It is more likely to NOT be a TD in 48 hours? Cannot agree there
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Re:

#190 Postby TexWx » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:25 pm

Alyono wrote:this will be over the water

development chances seem strange. It is more likely to NOT be a TD in 48 hours? Cannot agree there


I must be looking at it wrong.
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Re:

#191 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:30 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:11/1732 UTC 18.1N 88.8W OVERLAND 93L -- Atlantic


I always wonder why Dvorak most of the time has different positions than the Best Track ones.
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Re: Re:

#192 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:33 pm

cycloneye wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:11/1732 UTC 18.1N 88.8W OVERLAND 93L -- Atlantic


I always wonder why Dvorak most of the time has different positions than the Best Track ones.


Because there are multiple agencies making Dvorak estimates. Besides, Dvoraks are only satellite based. BT includes ALL data
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#193 Postby Ptarmigan » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:36 pm

Image

I notice upper level low near Florida and Georgia. I wonder what impact it could have on 93L.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#194 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:38 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:Image

I notice upper level low near Florida and Georgia. I wonder what impact it could have on 93L.


Good point, I wonder as well. Would it inhibit it's development or pull some of the moisture up with it?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#195 Postby ninel conde » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:57 pm

LaBreeze wrote:
Ptarmigan wrote:Image

I notice upper level low near Florida and Georgia. I wonder what impact it could have on 93L.


Good point, I wonder as well. Would it inhibit it's development or pull some of the moisture up with it?



3 strong upper lows in that picture and a 4th cutting off. my guess is the ull will make it very hostile in the GOM SO IF 93L develops at all it better scrape along the coast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#196 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:12 pm

it all depends where the LLC forms, my guess yes mexico but it has to form first. I have been hit twice by storms and both of those storms weren't supposed to hit my area and it did.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#197 Postby Portastorm » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:14 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:it all depends where the LLC forms, my guess yes mexico but it has to form first. I have been hit twice by storms and both of those storms weren't supposed to hit my area and it did.


Your "area" being?? ... it's defined in your profile.
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#198 Postby Hammy » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:14 pm

The ULL over Florida is moving west to WNW in tandem with 93L and will likely continue to aide in outflow to the north. I don't see any problem in the GoM from the other two.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion - 40% - 70%

#199 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:45 pm

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#200 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 11, 2013 4:04 pm

I know there is a vigorous rotation deep in the Yucatan, but Is it possible this storm can consolidate further north towards deeper convection? Or are the current dynamics against any type of "center" relocation?
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