ATL: LISA - Remnants - Discussion
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Sciencerocks
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Hurricane Mike
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
Video Update as Hurricane Lisa approaches
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dJwG84S3v1w
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dJwG84S3v1w
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
What an ugly hurricane. Funny how the system with a 919mb GFS run from last week will probably end up weaker than Martin, which had almost no model support until it suddenly started forming mere days ago.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:What an ugly hurricane. Funny how the system with a 919mb GFS run from last week will probably end up weaker than Martin, which had almost no model support until it suddenly started forming mere days ago.
I’ll take it. No complaints here.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
AF Recon plane shows that Lisa is very close to making landfall over Turneffe Atoll, Belize
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Sciencerocks
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like recon is finding a rising pressure (995mb) and winds in the 60-65 kt range.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hurricane Lisa Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152022
420 PM CDT Wed Nov 02 2022
...LISA MAKES LANDFALL IN BELIZE...
Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that Lisa has made
landfall along the coast of Belize, near the mouth of the Sibun
River, about 10 miles southwest of Belize City around 420 PM CDT
(2120 UTC). The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 85 mph
(140 km/h), and the minimum central pressure is estimated to be 990
mb (29.24 inches).
SUMMARY OF 420 PM CDT...2120 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 88.3W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Bucci/Brown
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152022
420 PM CDT Wed Nov 02 2022
...LISA MAKES LANDFALL IN BELIZE...
Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that Lisa has made
landfall along the coast of Belize, near the mouth of the Sibun
River, about 10 miles southwest of Belize City around 420 PM CDT
(2120 UTC). The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 85 mph
(140 km/h), and the minimum central pressure is estimated to be 990
mb (29.24 inches).
SUMMARY OF 420 PM CDT...2120 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 88.3W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Bucci/Brown
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
Is amazing what he does, and once again he is in an eye.
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1587920269917581312
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1587920269917581312
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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galaxy401
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
This could have been a big win for the GFS since it was one of the first models to sniff a hurricane in that region but then completely dropped it shortly before it did develop. Went from a W to a L.
Other models struggled to develop Lisa too. Make that another Atlantic storm they fail to initialize.
Other models struggled to develop Lisa too. Make that another Atlantic storm they fail to initialize.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Sciencerocks
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Lisa may have struggled a bit this morning convection wise which had limited its ceiling, but those convective bursts at and even after landfall are quite ridiculous. If this was over water, it could have been really bad.
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Add Lisa to the long list of "good thing it didn't have 12-24 more hours over water" systems this year
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The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Salute!
Don't let Lisa off easily. She is gonna be better developed after crossing the Yucatan than Opal was when it decided to zoom straight across the Gulf to the Panhandle.
Gums sends...
Don't let Lisa off easily. She is gonna be better developed after crossing the Yucatan than Opal was when it decided to zoom straight across the Gulf to the Panhandle.
Gums sends...
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Sciencerocks
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