The convection offshore is struggling to make it inland and now appears to be weakening. Is shear keeping it in the gulf? Really have no idea what's going on at this point.
ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
The wind has really died down recently in Lafayette, not sure what is going on maybe it's the calm of the meso vort?
The convection offshore is struggling to make it inland and now appears to be weakening. Is shear keeping it in the gulf? Really have no idea what's going on at this point.
The convection offshore is struggling to make it inland and now appears to be weakening. Is shear keeping it in the gulf? Really have no idea what's going on at this point.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like NOLA is about and hour away from the beginning of the deluge.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
panamatropicwatch wrote:Seeing reports of water going over Levees in Plaquemine Parish.
Live coverage from Plaquemine Parish
https://www.wwltv.com/article/news/loca ... 942d4d2ef7
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- johngaltfla
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:Luckily it never got its act together. So at least there is that.
Amen to that. If it had continued moving WSW to SW, we would be looking at a different animal today.
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HurricaneIrma
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
This buoy just off LA coast has reported sustained winds 81 mph gusting to 90
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Strong winds far south of the center:
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 63 kts (72.5 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 57 kts (65.6 mph)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 63 kts (72.5 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 57 kts (65.6 mph)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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SunnyThoughts
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Nancy Smar wrote:AL, 02, 2019071312, , BEST, 0, 293N, 919W, 65, 993, HU
This means it has been upgraded to hurricane, correct?
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HurricaneIrma
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
SunnyThoughts wrote:Nancy Smar wrote:AL, 02, 2019071312, , BEST, 0, 293N, 919W, 65, 993, HU
This means it has been upgraded to hurricane, correct?
It should be
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Swirl off Vermillion Bay turning west.
Still in the gyre.
Still in the gyre.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Swirl off Vermillion Bay turning west.
Still in the gyre.
It is doing a cyclonic swirl like it has been doing all along since at least yesterday. The MLC is clearly seen to the SE of it by the deep convection.

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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:This thing is decoupling.
I disagree - it has to have been coupled first to decouple.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
This is crazy
Crowley now calm, no wind at all and no rain ??
Crowley now calm, no wind at all and no rain ??
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Still some 60+ knot winds in that southeast quadrant.
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- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Recon getting into some heavier winds and the 10 advisory is not out yet. Wonder if they are waiting to see if recon finds hurricane force winds?
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Tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Hurricane - Discussion
Models did not forecast the persistent rain southeast of LA stretching to Alabama, but whats new?
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Hurricane - Discussion
I've never seen these many surfers over in the St Pete area beaches before. Not too often that they get these types of waves.


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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Barry has been a cool storm to track so far. Except for the floods we had earlier in the week, it's been more preparation and tracking than anything. Turned out two of my kids actually did get a little water in their cars, and the other one got stuck for a while. But otherwise, everything's been cool. Had a wedding rehearsal last night where they tied the knot just to be safe. Haha. Cheers on that, but so far otherwise, those were our only effects. Also last weekend was about 100 degrees and it's been hot almost every day before 92L dropped offshore.
I can't recall which model was the first to loop it toward shore - might have been NAM 12k several runs back. All the models had their moments from HMON depicting the heavily weighted southern structure to the European who at least from last Monday 00z had it hitting around Port Arthur which is certainly in the neighborhood from that far off. GFS did well also. Watching the multi-embedded vortexes has been great too. We feel super lucky so far that the northern side was dry or else we'd be at least a day in on rainfall and not like an inch/inch and a half since it flooded.
I'm not sure what's going to happen next. But you already know there is ridiculous energy down there. What I'm looking to see is whether anything starts firing off or if there is an afternoon explosion south of the center that leads to potential deluges this afternoon and evening. If not, Barry will have underperformed on precipitation except in the Gulf.
I can't recall which model was the first to loop it toward shore - might have been NAM 12k several runs back. All the models had their moments from HMON depicting the heavily weighted southern structure to the European who at least from last Monday 00z had it hitting around Port Arthur which is certainly in the neighborhood from that far off. GFS did well also. Watching the multi-embedded vortexes has been great too. We feel super lucky so far that the northern side was dry or else we'd be at least a day in on rainfall and not like an inch/inch and a half since it flooded.
I'm not sure what's going to happen next. But you already know there is ridiculous energy down there. What I'm looking to see is whether anything starts firing off or if there is an afternoon explosion south of the center that leads to potential deluges this afternoon and evening. If not, Barry will have underperformed on precipitation except in the Gulf.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Hurricane - Discussion
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Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC
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SunnyThoughts
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Hurricane - Discussion
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 92.0W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 92.0W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Hurricane - Discussion
Well maybe they did have some evidence for a hurricane.
144730 2904N 09114W 8412 01537 0069 +134 +134 197072 074 061 017 00
144800 2906N 09115W 8413 01536 0070 +132 +132 197074 076 064 013 03
144830 2907N 09117W 8409 01537 0065 +134 +134 199071 073 063 012 00
144900 2908N 09118W 8409 01536 0058 +138 +138 203070 072 060 011 03
144730 2904N 09114W 8412 01537 0069 +134 +134 197072 074 061 017 00
144800 2906N 09115W 8413 01536 0070 +132 +132 197074 076 064 013 03
144830 2907N 09117W 8409 01537 0065 +134 +134 199071 073 063 012 00
144900 2908N 09118W 8409 01536 0058 +138 +138 203070 072 060 011 03
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