ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Unless it starts taking more of a westward tilt, I'm thinking this may be going to end up closer to the MS/AL line.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Whoa this escalated quickly 

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Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Might have a long day ahead of us... I'm already struggling to focus on the work I need to get done... dang Sally...
Also, I just discovered this forum has a feature where you can ignore users!
Also, I just discovered this forum has a feature where you can ignore users!
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Big/Mustang Sally is coming!
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Wow, it's really RI'ing now. 

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Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
DestinHurricane wrote:cfisher wrote:This is definitely already a Cat 2 in the NE quadrant.
Not quite. FL winds are higher than surface.
Recon data would support surface winds of 80 kt - so a high end, 90 mph category 1.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
GFS initialized a whole degree latitude too far west. Yikes
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
That center location from the earlier 991mb reading is definitely a short term at least NW movement.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
eyewall wrapping around to the west and SW side now..
not good. if that closes off..
talk about a rude awakening for northern gulf coast people
and the North/NE turn from the stronger ensemble members is looking more likely now.. so Mobile and even western panhandle are back in play..
not good. if that closes off..
talk about a rude awakening for northern gulf coast people
and the North/NE turn from the stronger ensemble members is looking more likely now.. so Mobile and even western panhandle are back in play..
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If there is nothing before... then just ask

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Weather Dude wrote:Whoa this escalated quickly
Be thankful the shear kept her in check all day yesterday or we’d likely be looking at another Laura or worse.
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- gfsperpendicular
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Buck wrote:Also, I just discovered this forum has a feature where you can ignore users!
This is ominously enthusiastic lol
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I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!
#1 CMC stan
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Landfall could end up over or just east of Mobile, AL
Massive swath of flooding will be greatest danger, surge risks will increase as well. I think the impacts could be much worse than Laura.
Massive swath of flooding will be greatest danger, surge risks will increase as well. I think the impacts could be much worse than Laura.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
After the VDM, I'd expect a Special Advisory - probably about 11:30 am CT.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It might be worse that it only just started seriously intensifying now while it looked like slop for days, better chance of inner core features causing some weakening and people would expect it. If this becomes a major cane, people will be totally unprepared, especially to the west
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- galaxy401
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
Hurricane now! 85 mph!
Hurricane Sally Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT SALLY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED
TO A HURRICANE...
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating Sally
indicate the system has rapidly strengthened to a hurricane,
with maximum sustained winds of around 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09
inches).
A Special Advisory will be issued shortly to update the intensity
forecast for Sally.
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 86.9W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT SALLY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED
TO A HURRICANE...
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating Sally
indicate the system has rapidly strengthened to a hurricane,
with maximum sustained winds of around 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09
inches).
A Special Advisory will be issued shortly to update the intensity
forecast for Sally.
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 86.9W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
Last edited by galaxy401 on Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT SALLY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED TO A HURRICANE...
11:00 AM CDT Mon Sep 14
Location: 28.6°N 86.9°W
Moving: WNW at 6 mph
Min pressure: 985 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
11:00 AM CDT Mon Sep 14
Location: 28.6°N 86.9°W
Moving: WNW at 6 mph
Min pressure: 985 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hurricane Sally Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT SALLY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED
TO A HURRICANE...
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating Sally
indicate the system has rapidly strengthened to a hurricane,
with maximum sustained winds of around 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09
inches).
A Special Advisory will be issued shortly to update the intensity
forecast for Sally.
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 86.9W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020
1100 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT SALLY HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED
TO A HURRICANE...
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating Sally
indicate the system has rapidly strengthened to a hurricane,
with maximum sustained winds of around 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09
inches).
A Special Advisory will be issued shortly to update the intensity
forecast for Sally.
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 86.9W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
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