ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1881 Postby Chemmers » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:52 pm

Think we could see a 200mph storm at landfall
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1882 Postby shiny-pebble » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:52 pm

I'm going a relatively conservative 911mb/145kts. Everyones going so high might as well give a conservative estimate
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1883 Postby mrbagyo » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1884 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

Just still dumbfounded it's November. Didn't have greatly breaking the 1932 hurricane's record on my 2020 guess list but here we are
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1885 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

Chemmers wrote:Think we could see a 200mph storm at landfall


Its more likely than an ongoing ERC at landfall
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1886 Postby Highteeld » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
Highteeld wrote:For reference, the highest RAW T by Patricia was 8.3

Here's the top 10 list once again:
https://i.imgur.com/0nJfeuO.png

Ok, I was reading right off the CIMSS file.
Last edited by Highteeld on Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1887 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

I'll go 901mb and 160kt.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1888 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

Hopefully this pulls a Patricia and collapses before landfall. I believe she was supposed to landfall at 205mph at one point but that didn't happen thankfully... We can only pray
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1889 Postby Blizzard96x » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

shiny-pebble wrote:I'm going a relatively conservative 911mb/145kts. Everyones going so high might as well give a conservative estimate


Not possible.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1890 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

One thing for sure: the record for the fastest rate of 24hr intensification will likely go down regardless of Eta's actual maximum intensity.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1891 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:53 pm

Chemmers wrote:Think we could see a 200mph storm at landfall


I REALLY hope not, that would beat Haiyan, Meranti & Goni for the strongest landfall ever recorded.

:eek:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane 255 miles from 00z position

#1892 Postby chaser1 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:54 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:
toad strangler wrote:
psyclone wrote:What an extraordinary event to watch unfold. Just stunning. The latter portion of this season has certainly erased any deficit of quality systems. Another small extreme storm. a high end tropical tornado.


ACE hand-wringers FOR THE LOSS :lol:

BUT THERE WERE NEGATIVE ANOMALIES IN THE ATLANTIC IN MAY


:roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1893 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:54 pm

Blizzard96x wrote:
shiny-pebble wrote:I'm going a relatively conservative 911mb/145kts. Everyones going so high might as well give a conservative estimate


Not possible.

I would be shocked if its not sub 900mb at this point.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1894 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:54 pm

905mb and 165kts
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1895 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:54 pm

Almost there... here we go
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane 255 miles from 00z position

#1896 Postby Hammy » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:55 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:
toad strangler wrote:
psyclone wrote:What an extraordinary event to watch unfold. Just stunning. The latter portion of this season has certainly erased any deficit of quality systems. Another small extreme storm. a high end tropical tornado.


ACE hand-wringers FOR THE LOSS :lol:

BUT THERE WERE NEGATIVE ANOMALIES IN THE ATLANTIC IN MAY


People are going to die in a few hours, this isn't the time or place for "lol gotcha" comments.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1897 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:55 pm

supercane4867 wrote:One thing for sure: the record for the fastest rate of 24hr intensification will likely go down regardless of Eta's actual maximum intensity.


891 or lower to beat Wilmas 24 hr record.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1898 Postby us89 » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:55 pm

shiny-pebble wrote:I'm going a relatively conservative 911mb/145kts. Everyones going so high might as well give a conservative estimate


What a world we live in where a category 5 hurricane with a top-11 central pressure is conservative.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1899 Postby Blown Away » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:55 pm

895 mb
170 kts
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion: AF Plane to reach the eye shortly

#1900 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:55 pm

Image
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