ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[hicksta]

Guess he is has a littel fight in him haha.

[Aric Dunn]

nice blow up near the center ..

[Ed Mahmoud]

GSM appears to be an offshore oil rig, I suspect anenometer is above standard elevation...

[BigA]

The increase in convection near the center doesn't look like one of those epic blowups that you sometimes see with tropical storms in the gulf (contrast with the blowup of Alberto of 06) but combined with the slow increase in convection on the western side, I would say a slow intensification trend is likely this evening. In any case, "slow Eddie" doesn't seem to be doing anything to rapidly right now.

[AnnularCane]

I don't know if anybody brought this up before or not, but I don't think the floater on the NHC site is up to date. The latest I can get is 17:45 UTC, but shouldn't it be about 2 or 3 hours later than that right now?

[Stormcenter]

Its not suspect stormcenter its an actual center fix, it can't be wrong as its coming from recon, it may seem faster but looks can fool!

Also I'm pretty sure that also reported 45kts about 2-3hrs ago as well.

All I was stating is that it doesn't seem to be moving that fast on satellite or radar.
I actually think it's moving slower.

[KWT]

They certainly can win 'CaneFreak, Earl 1998 is an example. However the thing is the dry air is making this a really hard process for this system and its probably really slowing down the strengthening that could occur as it does have a real good shape to it.

[njweather]

Ed is looking real good right now...

For those of in the Greater Houston / Galveston area, which quad of the storm will be most damaging?

Thanks,

[Stormcenter]

Here is another good loop of Eddie that shows the
new burst of convection right near the center.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m16ir.html

['CaneFreak]

Ed is looking real good right now...

For those of in the Greater Houston / Galveston area, which quad of the storm will be most damaging?

Thanks,

Don't ask us here....go to your NOAA page http://www.noaa.gov type in your Zip Code...and read your weather office statements....

[KWT]

Yep Ed that would make a certain amount of sense I suppose, surface winds would therefore be a little lower then that is recording.

Ed still bursting convection with a new burst going up on the eastern side as well as on the western side, we shall see if that becomes any stronger in the next couple of hours.

[cycloneye]

[Sanibel]

The symmetry is too good to ignore.

[Stormcenter]

The center is closing up again per radar.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

[HURAKAN]

[KWT]

Sanibel, the structure certainly is pretty impressive, in some ways it does remind me of Earl 1998 which didn't have very good convective coverage but a very good structure which allowed it to strengthen.

right now the dry air that has eaten into the core is also quite noteable still, like a chunk of the deep convection has been eaten into though there is convection in there firing up which may help to cover it up a little.

[cheezyWXguy]

Yep Ed that would make a certain amount of sense I suppose, surface winds would therefore be a little lower then that is recording.

Ed still bursting convection with a new burst going up on the eastern side as well as on the western side, we shall see if that becomes any stronger in the next couple of hours.

Looking better, but I just dont think its really strengthening yet. I think its starting to, but isnt quite there yet. Its finally pushing out the dry air, and we should eventually see more pops of convection.

[Frank2]

KWT,

DP's are in the 60s and low 70s across that region (not particularly high), so, as you said the dry air is helping to slow any strengthening, and, it's close proximity to land is also helping, so...

[crm6360]

Sanibel, you're posts are usually like something from The Far Side. Ed is slowly organizing. There's nothing to read into.

[Shockwave]

Sanibel, the structure certainly is pretty impressive, in some ways it does remind me of Earl 1998 which didn't have very good convective coverage but a very good structure which allowed it to strengthen.

right now the dry air that has eaten into the core is also quite noteable still, like a chunk of the deep convection has been eaten into though there is convection in there firing up which may help to cover it up a little.

I've got to add something. Even with the dry air pushing in, Ed is still intensifying and the latest satelittle image looks VERY impressive, I'm just thinking...if that dry air wasn't coming in...could we be easily looking at a Cat. 3 to possibly Cat. 4?