We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

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TexasF6
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#21 Postby TexasF6 » Fri Jul 16, 2010 2:52 pm

That new SW'rly diving African Wave looks interesting. It is diving SW from the African coast, which will give it a chance to get low lat off the coast and use that suicide wave mentioned to kickoff this post's moisture and move forward.....maybe it will not POOF like the other one with the SW dive....not to mention a nice circulation.....the tropics are certainly cookin... :flag:
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#22 Postby Gustywind » Fri Jul 16, 2010 2:56 pm

SAL is fairly moving away...
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#23 Postby Gustywind » Fri Jul 16, 2010 3:00 pm

Image
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#24 Postby KWT » Fri Jul 16, 2010 3:14 pm

Well the SAL isn't quite as potent recently coming off Africa as it has been and this latest outbreak isn't as strong. I think by early-mid August waves like the one that just emerged would be real contenders.

Nice convective burst along the ITCZ emerging from Africa right now, and the wave behind will only help to reduce the SAL yet further.
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#25 Postby Gustywind » Fri Jul 16, 2010 3:17 pm

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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#26 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 18, 2010 5:55 am

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN JUL 18 2010

...ITCZ...

THE ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG 11N15W 7N30W 8N40W 10N52W INTO FAR NE
VENEZUELA. A WEAK 1009 MB LOW PRES...LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NEXT TROPICAL WAVE...IS MOVING OUT OF AFRICA THROUGH SENEGAL.
CURRENTLY...DAKAR IS REPORTING NE WINDS AND LIGHT RAIN. THE
HOVMOLLER DIAGRAM SHOWS THE WESTWARD PROPAGATION OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS.
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-13N E OF 12W...AND FROM 4N-9N
BETWEEN 20W-25W.
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#27 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 18, 2010 6:02 am

Yeah convection coming out of Africa, interestingly more convection is occuring near the ITCZ as well.
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#28 Postby Gustywind » Sun Jul 18, 2010 6:05 am

Let's wait and see, first looking for the poof-test :cheesy:...
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#29 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 18, 2010 6:32 am

Still got an awful lot of SAL to its north which won't be going anywhere too quickly. Still these waves will help to moisten the airflow over and over again till it eases off.
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#30 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Jul 18, 2010 11:44 am

Looking very impressive this afternoon.
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#31 Postby Hugo1989 » Sun Jul 18, 2010 11:57 am

two yellow codes for 2:00 pm ... Invest 97 very soon!
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#32 Postby NOLA2010 » Sun Jul 18, 2010 1:06 pm

Hugo1989 wrote:two yellow codes for 2:00 pm ... Invest 97 very soon!


There was only one yellow code
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#33 Postby Gustywind » Sun Jul 18, 2010 1:07 pm

Hugo1989 wrote:two yellow codes for 2:00 pm ... Invest 97 very soon!

? sure?
Maybe you're so enthusiastic :cheesy: the NHC is not...they mentionned only one HUGO


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 181733
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 18 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...SURFACE
PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD AFFECT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...HAITI...AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#34 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Jul 18, 2010 1:13 pm

Hugo1989 wrote:two yellow codes for 2:00 pm ... Invest 97 very soon!


Sorry, but this will not go yellow at 2:00, if it goes yellow at all.
I think we all know what happens to these waves once they roll off the coast of Africa.
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#35 Postby Gustywind » Sun Jul 18, 2010 1:16 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Hugo1989 wrote:two yellow codes for 2:00 pm ... Invest 97 very soon!


Sorry, but this will not go yellow at 2:00, if it goes yellow at all.
I think we all know what happens to these waves once they roll off the coast of Africa.

We have to wait one week i tkink, after that things should begin to be much more interresting...
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#36 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Jul 18, 2010 1:22 pm

Gustywind wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
Hugo1989 wrote:two yellow codes for 2:00 pm ... Invest 97 very soon!


Sorry, but this will not go yellow at 2:00, if it goes yellow at all.
I think we all know what happens to these waves once they roll off the coast of Africa.

We have to wait one week i tkink, after that things should begin to be much more interresting...



I agree, and you can already see that the SAL is having this wave for lunch, must be hungry.
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#37 Postby Hugo1989 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 8:06 am

Two yellow codes & and invest 97L... I said yesterday!
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Re: We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri

#38 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jul 19, 2010 9:58 am

This African wave will likely go directly to code orange or red sometime today, I would guess.
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Re:

#39 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:50 am

Gustywind wrote:Image

Impressive twave on Africa, has gained in size today compared to yesterday but convection remains fairly concentrated, something to keep an eye for sure during the next 72H...
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#40 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:51 am

Anyone see that? :uarrow:
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