Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

[cycloneye]

Well,the low lasted only six hours as the 00z Surface Analysis by TAFB drops it.

[floridasun78]

it look like hit sal look weaker tonight sal win again

[cycloneye]

It was good to talk about this as there was anything more out there but it caved into the Sal,Next

[canes04]

Still watching the area near 9 & 45. Let's see what happens today.

[MGC]

Dry air wins every time.....MGC

[cycloneye]

I modified the title of thread to take out the "Area of Interest" thing as this wont do anything to develop. What it will do is to bring some rain to the Eastern Caribbean islands.

(Some of them need rain as drought is occuring)

8 PM EDT Discussion of wave.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 17N39W TO 9N46W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. WAVE
WAS ALIGNED WITH A TILT TO BETTER FIT THE SHAPE OF A BROAD SURGE
OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE THAT TRAILS THE WAVE SEEN IN TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE IMAGERY. DUE TO THE LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST
COVERING THE TROPICAL ATLC...NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE EXCEPT FOR A SMALL AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION
FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 47W-49W.

[cycloneye]

Discussion of wave at 2 PM EDT.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N53W TO 17N47W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT IN THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS BETWEEN 45W-54W. EASTERLY UPPER LEVEL
FLOW DOMINATES ALOFT OVER THE WAVE AS IT REMAINS FAIRLY FREE OF
MOISTURE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL. POSSIBLE ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE FROM 09N-16N BETWEEN 45W-52W.

[cycloneye]

8:05 PM EDT discussion of wave.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 18N49W TO 8N53W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. WAVE
COINCIDES WITH THE MAXIMUM MOISTURE VALUES SEEN IN A BROAD SURGE
OF MOISTURE PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A LARGE
AREA OF DUST TO THE N OF THE WAVE IS DAMPENING ANY DEEP
CONVECTION NEAR THE AXIS EXCEPT FOR A SMALL AREA OF ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION W OF THE AXIS FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 53W-56W.

[cycloneye]

Discussion of wave at 8:05 AM EDT.

TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES EXTENDS FROM
17N53W TO 8N55W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROAD SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE
AXIS BETWEEN 10N-13N.