93L Model run!

[Matthew5]

I'm just down playing it down

[ColdFront77]

I don't think anybody would be upset. This is just the beginning of the season

Very true for June and July, although there have been 55 named tropical systems in this region
(Gulf of Mexico and western Caribbean Sea) in the month of June between 1886 and 2003.

[southerngale]

FWIW...

Houston NWS comments:
THE GULF DISTURBANCE IS BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT. FUTURE SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECASTS MAY SIGNIFICANTLY
ALTER DEPENDING ON WHETHER OR NOT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OCCURS AND
WHAT PATH THE SYSTEM DECIDES TO TAKE. STAY TUNED!



Lake Charles NWS comments:
.DISCUSSION...A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER IS AT HAND AS A
TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MOVES
NORTHERLY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MOISTURE...INSTABILITY
AND LIFT ARE KEY INGREDIENTS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AND THAT IS WHAT IS FORECAST TO BE PREVAILING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY.

AS THE TROPICAL LOW MOVES NORTHWARD MOISTURE FIELDS FROM THE
SURFACE UP TO 700 MB INCREASE REMARKABLY. SEVERAL DISTRUBANCES
ARE EJECTED NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
MOSITURE CONVERGENCE BECOMES EVIDENT BY EARLY TUESDAY ACROSS THE
COASTAL AREAS WHICH SHOULD GENERATE MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THAN
FIRST THOUGHT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. PERSISTENT RAINS SHOULD BEGIN
TO TAPER OFF BY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A NORMAL SUMMERTIME DAY TO DRY THINGS
OUT NEXT WEEKEND

[hurricanefloyd5]

thx chad!!!! matthew5 is driving me nuts just reading his posts!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!