Very interesting
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AmeliaIslandr
- Tropical Low

- Posts: 28
- Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 3:04 pm
- Location: Amelia Island, FL
- charleston_hugo_veteran
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 1590
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:47 pm
- Location: Charleston, S.C.
- mf_dolphin
- Category 5

- Posts: 17758
- Age: 69
- Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 2:05 pm
- Location: St Petersburg, FL
- Contact:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/quikscat.php?station=41009
You can see both the Ivan remnants and Jeanne on this
You can see both the Ivan remnants and Jeanne on this
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ladygatorslayer
- Tropical Low

- Posts: 43
- Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:29 pm
- Location: Tampa Bay Area
- sfwx
- Category 1

- Posts: 371
- Age: 59
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:53 pm
- Location: Rural St. Lucie County, Fl
000
FXUS62 KMLB 201835
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004
...SHOWERS MOVING WEST FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY...
.DISCUSSION...LOW CENTER (REMNANT OF IVAN) JUST OFF THE SE COAST OF
FL. SOME HINT IN RADAR DEPICTION THAT CENTER IS NEAR THE MARTIN CTY
COASTLINE. BANDED PCPN PRIMARILY N OF THE LOW CENTER CONTS TO MOVE
ONSHORE WITH OCNL HVY RAINFALL. CURRENT BAND IMPINGING ON VOLUSIA
CTY COAST SHOULD PIVOT TO THE N OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WHILE
ANOTHER ORGNANIZED BAND OFF THE THE COAST SOUTH OF THE CAPE WILL
IMPACT S BREVARD...THRU ST LUCIE CTY THRU THE LATE AFTN. STRONG
MOISTURE ADV FROM THE EAST IN CONFLUENT LOW LVL FLOW ALONG WITH WEAK
MID LVL DIFF VORT ADV SUPPORTING RA. THE ETA (12KM) IS ONLY GUIDANCE
THAT TRIES TO DEPICT TIMING OF PCPN BANDS OVERNIGHT AND SHOWS BAND
ABT TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE SE COAST TO LIFT N OVERNIGHT. WHILE
EXACT TIMING/PLACEMENT IS UNCERTAIN GUIDANCE AND LOW STRUCTURE
SUGGESTS BANDS WILL BE TRANSITORY. DO NOT PLAN ON ISSUING WATCHES
ATTM BECAUSE OF THIS EXPECTED TRANSLATION AND INDIVIDUAL CELLS
MOVING 30+ MPH...STILL HVY RAINS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ESP ALONG THE
COAST WITH SPEED CONV ENHANCING LOW LVL FORCING.
HIGH SURF ADV WILL CONTINUE WITH EXPECTED COMBINED SEAS OF UP TO 10
FEET NEARSHORE. WILL DROP LAKE WND ADV WITH THIS PACKAGE.
TUE...MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN TAKING THE WEAKENING SURFACE
CIRCULATION GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND INTO THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. TRAILING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS CURRENTLY
EAST OF GA/SC WILL TRACK ACROSS EC FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE BANDS MAY
AGAIN PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND BREEZY CONDITIONS.
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL AGAIN HOLD TEMPERATURES BELOW
NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
FXUS62 KMLB 201835
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004
...SHOWERS MOVING WEST FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY...
.DISCUSSION...LOW CENTER (REMNANT OF IVAN) JUST OFF THE SE COAST OF
FL. SOME HINT IN RADAR DEPICTION THAT CENTER IS NEAR THE MARTIN CTY
COASTLINE. BANDED PCPN PRIMARILY N OF THE LOW CENTER CONTS TO MOVE
ONSHORE WITH OCNL HVY RAINFALL. CURRENT BAND IMPINGING ON VOLUSIA
CTY COAST SHOULD PIVOT TO THE N OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WHILE
ANOTHER ORGNANIZED BAND OFF THE THE COAST SOUTH OF THE CAPE WILL
IMPACT S BREVARD...THRU ST LUCIE CTY THRU THE LATE AFTN. STRONG
MOISTURE ADV FROM THE EAST IN CONFLUENT LOW LVL FLOW ALONG WITH WEAK
MID LVL DIFF VORT ADV SUPPORTING RA. THE ETA (12KM) IS ONLY GUIDANCE
THAT TRIES TO DEPICT TIMING OF PCPN BANDS OVERNIGHT AND SHOWS BAND
ABT TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE SE COAST TO LIFT N OVERNIGHT. WHILE
EXACT TIMING/PLACEMENT IS UNCERTAIN GUIDANCE AND LOW STRUCTURE
SUGGESTS BANDS WILL BE TRANSITORY. DO NOT PLAN ON ISSUING WATCHES
ATTM BECAUSE OF THIS EXPECTED TRANSLATION AND INDIVIDUAL CELLS
MOVING 30+ MPH...STILL HVY RAINS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ESP ALONG THE
COAST WITH SPEED CONV ENHANCING LOW LVL FORCING.
HIGH SURF ADV WILL CONTINUE WITH EXPECTED COMBINED SEAS OF UP TO 10
FEET NEARSHORE. WILL DROP LAKE WND ADV WITH THIS PACKAGE.
TUE...MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN TAKING THE WEAKENING SURFACE
CIRCULATION GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND INTO THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. TRAILING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AXIS CURRENTLY
EAST OF GA/SC WILL TRACK ACROSS EC FLORIDA. CONVECTIVE BANDS MAY
AGAIN PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND BREEZY CONDITIONS.
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL AGAIN HOLD TEMPERATURES BELOW
NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
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KeyLargoDave
- Category 1

- Posts: 423
- Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 4:03 pm
- Location: 25 05' 80 26'
- Contact:
Man, no one can get a break. Big area of strong convection, possibly gale force winds and dangerous lightning, coming ashore at Ft. Pierce, that "spawn of ivan" low. Check out MIA nexrad:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kamx.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kamx.shtml
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KeyLargoDave wrote:Man, no one can get a break. Big area of strong convection, possibly gale force winds and dangerous lightning, coming ashore at Ft. Pierce, that "spawn of ivan" low. Check out MIA nexrad:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kamx.shtml
check it out on Melbourne:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kmlb.shtml
0 likes
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Matthew5
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ColdFront77
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