What are the sources for the BAMM & BAMD models, because I have no idea other than knowing they get knocked a lot?
I do know that the NOGAPS, EGRR, & LBAR have shifted Jeanne west into Florida with the first to showing a GOM northward turn, a similar fashion as to Frances. The differance is no stall or slow motion.
Mike
Hold the Presses Track will shift back Left!
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caneman
MPH101 wrote:What are the sources for the BAMM & BAMD models, because I have no idea other than knowing they get knocked a lot?
I do know that the NOGAPS, EGRR, & LBAR have shifted Jeanne west into Florida with the first to showing a GOM northward turn, a similar fashion as to Frances. The differance is no stall or slow motion.
Mike
Not sure myself. Suuposedly though the GLobals (UKMET, NOGAPS, etc. perform better at this Latitude. I'm looking more for trends though than any particular model.
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TPACane04
Charley, Frances...jeez...they all start feeling the same by now...yes in my earlier post I did mean to reference Charley in regard to the "30-60" mile difference situation at landfall.
Yoda was asking about GFDL...somewhere along the way I may have mentioned that GFDL was bang on for Charley when he was just W of Puerto Rico...GFDL 3-day had him going up FL just east of TB area...pretty much where he did end up..
the models struggled with Ivan for a while, so no real track record to give props to...on that storm.
until I see NOGAPS and UKMET start swinging Frances off East Coast like GFDL does, I think everything is in play for next 48-72 hours..
Yoda was asking about GFDL...somewhere along the way I may have mentioned that GFDL was bang on for Charley when he was just W of Puerto Rico...GFDL 3-day had him going up FL just east of TB area...pretty much where he did end up..
the models struggled with Ivan for a while, so no real track record to give props to...on that storm.
until I see NOGAPS and UKMET start swinging Frances off East Coast like GFDL does, I think everything is in play for next 48-72 hours..
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TPACane04
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yoda
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MPH101 wrote:What are the sources for the BAMM & BAMD models, because I have no idea other than knowing they get knocked a lot?
I do know that the NOGAPS, EGRR, & LBAR have shifted Jeanne west into Florida with the first to showing a GOM northward turn, a similar fashion as to Frances. The differance is no stall or slow motion.
Mike
The BAMM and BAMD are based off the GFS model runs... the LBAR has shifted west some... but it makes landfall near JAX or St. Augustine...
What is the EGRR?
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