the models dont make any sense

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#21 Postby rainstorm » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:40 pm

i am very confused
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Bellarose
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#22 Postby Bellarose » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:41 pm

I think we all are! Rightfully so. Just had to pop an Exedrin from the headache of all of this!
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Patrick99
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#23 Postby Patrick99 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:49 pm

I believe the NHC forecast and the models will verify somewhat. All the little NW jogs it takes are going to add up - it will come in just N of South Florida (meaning the tri-county area), IMO.
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obxhurricane
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#24 Postby obxhurricane » Fri Sep 24, 2004 2:55 pm

Sorry guys, but I have to interject here. As far as I can see, it's not really a matter of how strong the ridge is, it's a matter of where the western or southwestern edge of the ridge is as the storm nears Florida. I don't think it's out of the question for Jeanne to slow as it nears the Florida coast...as it will then be near the edge of the ridge...and steering currents will become weaker...and more from the SE...thus a turn to the WNW...NW...then N. Check for yourself the upper air charts from the ETA...
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