new jeanne forecast... little change

[gulfcoaster53]

Sorry for the comic relief re TWC babe.

Seriously, I've posted this link several times today. The pattern just hasn't changed. The ridge is STILL building and with the storm accelerating, seems increasingly unlikely that there will be a significant deviation from the 270 course. I agreed with Derek early this AM and still do. The link updates at quarter past and quarter of the hour.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... g&itype=wv

[Blown Away]

I was just on Palm Beach, and I talked to her, and I did. I got a cute smile and a laugh. She gets it a lot.

Funniest comment I've heard today!! That smile does tell it all!

[KG4HPN]

Yes, let's put the smallest person we can find on the beach where we expect landfall and see what happens. I can't believe she hasn't blown away yet... Can't put Cantore, there...nono. Then we might break the curse! Or even worse, the storm might veer and bust our forecast.

/semi-drunken and stress-induced sarcasm

[Guest]

I was just on Palm Beach, and I talked to her, and I did. I got a cute smile and a laugh. She gets it a lot.

Funniest comment I've heard today!! That smile does tell it all!

What else did she say? Did she say she is married?

[CL]

At 26.2, she is off of Ft. Lauderdale, over 50 miles from WPB

[Derek Ortt]

i also didnt write this forecast... but it makes a lot of sense. based upon what is occurring, this is the only track that seems likely to verify

[rainstorm]

sounds good

[jagesq]

Yes she's taken, not sure if that means she is married, engaged or just has a BF. But she is real sweet.

[Guest]

i also didnt write this forecast... but it makes a lot of sense. based upon what is occurring, this is the only track that seems likely to verify

I agree with your forecasts.

There must be some corrupt data in these models,it would not be the 1st time.The input from the NOAA jet should clear things up soon.

[Guest]

Yes she's taken, not sure if that means she is married, engaged or just has a BF. But she is real sweet.

Someone in bobs chat said she has a bf when he was in her class a few years ago. Shes wearing two rings on her finger so I assume that means something. How often does she have guys asking her out?

[calidoug]

NHC disagrees, shows just N of W track into Central FL, not S FL at 5PM.

[hibiscushouse]

The ridge is STILL building and with the storm accelerating

In that water vapor image, is the ridge all that that is colored red?

[Derek Ortt]

and I dont care if nhc disagrees

graphics now available at http://www.nwhhc.com/atl112004graphics.html

[jlauderdal]

NHC disagrees, shows just N of W track into Central FL, not S FL at 5PM.

nhc had ivan a little north of tampa landfall and derek stuck to his guns on the west movement and nhc came around...nhc isnt the all knowing by any stretch

[Guest]

NHC disagrees, shows just N of W track into Central FL, not S FL at 5PM.

nhc had ivan a little north of tampa landfall and derek stuck to his guns on the west movement and nhc came around...nhc isnt the all knowing by any stretch

Yes I remember that NHC had Ivan continuously making a right turn.

1st east of Fla than over Fla while Derek & many other brilliant minds here kept Ivan on the more west path & thats what verified.

[rainstorm]

looks good

[Guest]

Looks like sw florida will get hurricane conditions with this track. Even Port Charlotte.

[cape_escape]

Looks like sw florida will get hurricane conditions with this track. Even Port Charlotte.

I agree Charleycat....Poor Port Charlotte! By the looks of this, we here one the west coast will get more than we are expecting as well. Thanks again Derek for the great forecasts!!!