Moving East

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fci
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#21 Postby fci » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:35 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
QueenBee wrote:MGC prove it!


No offense but I dont think MGC has to prove anything. The satellite pics can speak for themselves. Just go to the visible loops and see them for yourself. It appears and hence the word appears to be drifting E or ENE.

<RICKY>


Sure looks like East to me.
There isn't a South Florida risk is there???
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Re: Hmmmmm

#22 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:54 pm

The system is moving east. This is something that has been well-known since yesterday. You can clearly trace a line from the Mexican coast where the center was located yesterday toward where it is now and anyone can clearly see that it has moved toward the east. Satellite images speak for themselves.

As for the system being hybrid, pure...it is somewhat of a hybrid, but leaning more towards tropical formation. You can clearly see in just ONE visible image, the cooler, drier air coming down from Texas and the convection building just on the east side of the center. This clearly indicates some mixing/baroclinic forces going on.

Without a doubt, it will be a classified storm at 5pm. Of what type? That is the question. The storm clearly has a tropical appearance to it, but one should not ignore the entanglement with the front to the north and the drier airmass to its NW coming south.

In any case, Matthew should be here today as a Tropical/Subtropical Storm...
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#23 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 08, 2004 12:59 pm

Agreed.

The main factor being slow forward speed to allow higher potential...
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Re: Hmmmmm

#24 Postby cind52 » Fri Oct 08, 2004 1:01 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:The system is moving east. This is something that has been well-known since yesterday. You can clearly trace a line from the Mexican coast where the center was located yesterday toward where it is now. Anyone can clearly see that it has moved toward the east. Satellite images speak for themselves.

As for the system being hybrid, pure...it is somewhat of a hybrid, but leaning more towards tropical formation. You can clearly see in just ONE visible image, the cooler, drier air coming down from Texas and the convection building just on the east side of the center. This clearly indicates some mixing/baroclinic forces going on.

Without a doubt, it will be a classified system at 5pm...winds are storm force, thus when it becomes a classified system it should automatically be a storm. Of what type? That is the question. The storm clearly has a tropical appearance to it, but one should not ignore the entanglement with the front to the north and the drier airmass to its NW coming south.

In any case, Matthew should be here today as a Tropical/Subtropical Storm...
If the system is moving east... instead of north east What will our effect be in New Orleans? Will it stay to the south of our coastline?
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Re: Hmmmmm

#25 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Oct 08, 2004 1:01 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:The system is moving east. This is something that has been well-known since yesterday. You can clearly trace a line from the Mexican coast where the center was located yesterday toward where it is now and anyone can clearly see that it has moved toward the east. Satellite images speak for themselves.

As for the system being hybrid, pure...it is somewhat of a hybrid, but leaning more towards tropical formation. You can clearly see in just ONE visible image, the cooler, drier air coming down from Texas and the convection building just on the east side of the center. This clearly indicates some mixing/baroclinic forces going on.

Without a doubt, it will be a classified storm at 5pm. Of what type? That is the question. The storm clearly has a tropical appearance to it, but one should not ignore the entanglement with the front to the north and the drier airmass to its NW coming south.

In any case, Matthew should be here today as a Tropical/Subtropical Storm...


So you disagreeing with the NHC? Oh my that is not
alllowed on this board. :lol:
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#26 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Oct 08, 2004 1:06 pm

Stormcenter,

NHC has been right and has been wrong before. I'm sure they have noticed the eastward movement, but don't want to make drastic changes to their thinking until recon gets there. The plane will surely put them back on their feet...

Cind52,

The effects in New Orleans should be the same. Rain, rain, rain...
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