My take on the rest of the season=No more named systems
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cycloneye
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The weak el nino has been the factor that has put a cap on the rest of the season.The last true pure tropical system that formed before el nino kicked in was tropical storm/hurricane Lisa.Matthew and Nicole where not pure tropical systems.
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Stormsfury
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cycloneye wrote:The weak el nino has been the factor that has put a cap on the rest of the season.The last true pure tropical system that formed before el nino kicked in was tropical storm/hurricane Lisa.Matthew and Nicole where not pure tropical systems.
This is exactly why two months ago that I really saw the season pretty much shutting down as quickly as it erupted at the beginning of August ... the synoptic pattern went from one that was extremely conducive for tropical cyclone development to a pattern which gradually began to feature a blocking regime w/many cutoff lows ... and one right after another continued to carve out in the W ATL which pretty much shut the most favorable area down for business...
It's also not surprising that this season did not feature a developing W CAR system, particulary in the early season months (JUN/JUL). A lot of unofficial rules seem to apply during the tropical season including the 1st TC rule, in which DT (WxRisk) had an outstanding writeup about earlier this season. Also, another important unofficial rule (sort of a trend that I've found with tropical cyclone tracking in my years), "what happens early, the season remembers late ..." ...
2003 and 2004 are prime examples of that ...
SF
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