Hurricanes not so rare in NE Florida???

[sponger]

Thanks for finding the David map Jekyhe32210. I never new how lucky FL was for that storm. It was a 4 heading into the Dominican Republic. If it had not crossed those mountains, who knows what intensity it would have been off the coast. A cat 4 with that track would have been a real disaster.

As for a back door hurricane2, I think the the big risk is a fast moving well organized 4-5 coming in near cedar key and exiting NE Florida. That is only 120 miles, and a storm moving at 15-20 mph would cover that quickly!

[jdray]

Extremely unlikely track--the "traditional" hurricane threat for Region 11 is the "back door" coming from a West Coast strike.

How is the backdoor track a "traditional" hurricane track? Sure they come at us from the gulf but no one has to take any precautions when a hurricane comes from that way and Tim Deegan even says we'll watch it but "its on the wrong side". The only way Jacksonville can be hit and cause an evacuation is from the atlantic. I dont consider backdoor canes a hit-just remnants.

Please please please do yourself a favor and ignore Tim Deegan when it comes to Hurricanes. He knows squat.

Listen to George Winterling, he was the only meteorologist that said Dora was coming and would not turn (just about). He is extremely accurate with Hurricane forecasting for this area.
Timmy boy on the other hand, he only forecasts beach forecasts. He ignored Clay County and farther inland last year, yet we had higher winds than the beaches had (plus had a few tornados, including one that woke me and the wife up as it spawned over our house and touched down a short distance away.)