Andrew advisories---Where can I find them??
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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Brent
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MGC wrote:Well, the NHC didn't do that great of a job with Ivan this past season. Early in its track NHC had Ivan coming up the east coast of Fla. We have a long way to go before we can get a rock solid forecast......MGC
Yep... in fact the NHC's track was too far right on every forecast until about 48 hours before landfall. Even when it moved through the Windward Islands (9 days before the U.S. landfall), NHC took it near Barbados and St. Vincent, it ended up hitting the southern end of Grenada. I remember early forecasts taking it OVER Hispanola, ended up passing several hundred miles to the south, and went just south of Jamaica and Grand Cayman. Just barely clipped Western Cuba and almost hit the Yucatan. None of the forecasts were that far west until hours before it got there.
Last edited by Brent on Mon May 30, 2005 9:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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MGC
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Yep Brent, one thing I've noticed about the NHC forecasts when hurricanes are below 20 degrees north is that the NHC boys want to recurve them too quick. Andrew was forecast to hit New Orleans but went 100 miles west of NO. Georges was forecast to move up east coast. It didn't. Mitch was forecast to remain over water but moved into Honduras. Isadore was forecast to remain over the GOM but moved into the Yucatan and stalled. I always take the NHC forecast with a grain of salt.......MGC
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Brent
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MGC wrote:Yep Brent, one thing I've noticed about the NHC forecasts when hurricanes are below 20 degrees north is that the NHC boys want to recurve them too quick. Andrew was forecast to hit New Orleans but went 100 miles west of NO. Georges was forecast to move up east coast. It didn't. Mitch was forecast to remain over water but moved into Honduras. Isadore was forecast to remain over the GOM but moved into the Yucatan and stalled. I always take the NHC forecast with a grain of salt.......MGC
Oh yeah... I remember Isidore. Back then I didn't have alternate sources and I watched TWC.
How things have changed.
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