RECON IS A GO!!!!!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#21 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:28 pm

383
URNT11 KNHC 281825
97779 18174 31285 90800 73100 23037 66721 /5763
RMK AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 01
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#22 Postby southerngale » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:28 pm

Brent wrote:
BreinLa wrote:Okay Ceye you gonna have to help me out here what does it mean


They have a ways to go. Won't be in til around 4pm CDT.



Won't it be at a taco stand by then?
0 likes   
Please support Storm2k by making a donation today. It is greatly appreciated! Click here: Image

Image my Cowboys Image my RocketsImage my Astros
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#23 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:29 pm

southerngale wrote:
Brent wrote:
BreinLa wrote:Okay Ceye you gonna have to help me out here what does it mean


They have a ways to go. Won't be in til around 4pm CDT.



Won't it be at a taco stand by then?


LOL :lol:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#24 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:31 pm

Definitely a TD and could even be Bret. Its making landfall and I am surprised Reconn is flying into a tropical system that is landfalling.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#25 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:34 pm

Did any one notice the 37 knot flight level winds out of the SW! Love that jet...
Last edited by drezee on Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#26 Postby Normandy » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:34 pm

Well its not making landfall...its still easily over water. I want to see the movement recon finds.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#27 Postby southerngale » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:40 pm

Isn't there a ridge of high pressure over Texas? I would think it has nowhere to go but west, or wnw. But what do I know?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23080
Age: 68
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#28 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:41 pm

I don't know where those first 3 reports came from early in this thread, but that plane was heading NE toward Biloxi. The last recon fix posted (Ob 1 at 1825Z) looks like it could be a plane going down there. I estimate the position of the depression to be near 19.6N/95.7W, or about 42 miles offshore. At the rate it's moving, it'll be inland in 8-12 hours. Not much time to develop.

Here's an 18Z shot:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/boc5.gif">
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mikey mike
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 247
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:01 pm
Location: Gulfport,MS

#29 Postby mikey mike » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:46 pm

TV met out of N.Orleans was shocked that the NHC had not classiied this thing yet.He said it looked like a tropical storm to him.I agree.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23080
Age: 68
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#30 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:46 pm

drezee wrote:Did any one notice the 37 knot flight level winds out of the SW! Love that jet...


That flight level wind was way up to the north, about 700 miles to the northeast of the center- so I don't think it's significant in terms of defining a circulation.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#31 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:49 pm

Very confident this will go straight to Bret. It has wrapped up nicely today.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#32 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:58 pm

826
URNT11 KNHC 281855
97779 18484 31265 92500 73200 22020 66841 /5763
RMK AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 02
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#33 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 28, 2005 1:59 pm

wxman57 wrote:
drezee wrote:Did any one notice the 37 knot flight level winds out of the SW! Love that jet...


That flight level wind was way up to the north, about 700 miles to the northeast of the center- so I don't think it's significant in terms of defining a circulation.


I am not a retard! That is why I said love that jet. It is the SW wind flow you see on the sat pics.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#34 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:10 pm

Here we go. I'm leaving for vacation, so a storm forms. It's the same thing ever year. I said this same thing a month ago, knowing I was leaving on June 30th. And now it's happening. Four year in a row. Thanks, tropics. :x
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#35 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:16 pm

Time: 1817Z
Latitude: 28.5°N
Longitude: 90.8°W
Location: 65 mi SW of Grand Isle, Louisana
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: SW (230°) @ 43 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -8°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 01


Time: 1848Z
Latitude: 26.5°N
Longitude: 92.5°W
Location: 220 mi SSW of Morgan City, Louisiana
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: SW (220°) @ 23 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -29°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 02
0 likes   
Top
krysof

#36 Postby krysof » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:17 pm

I'm going July 1st, I hate missing everything. I'm going to look at all the archives of storms that are going to form between now and August 22nd which are going to be a lot. I hope only a few form between now and then.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#37 Postby Brent » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:19 pm

krysof wrote:I'm going July 1st, I hate missing everything. I'm going to look at all the archives of storms that are going to form between now and August 22nd which are going to be a lot. I hope only a few form between now and then.


Actually... it's better than being gone during Early to Mid September. Last year we had Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Danielle, Earl in that timeframe, but it's usually not that active then.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#38 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:26 pm

Time: 1920Z
Latitude: 24.4°N
Longitude: 94.3°W
Location: 209 mi ESE of Brownsville, Texas
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: WSW (240°) @ 14 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -11°F
Weather: Broken Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 03
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#39 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:29 pm

senorpepr wrote:Time: 1920Z
Latitude: 24.4°N
Longitude: 94.3°W
Location: 209 mi ESE of Brownsville, Texas
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 24000 feet
Flight level wind: WSW (240°) @ 14 mph
Temperature: 3°F
Dewpoint: -11°F
Weather: Broken Skies
400mb height: 25000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: AF304 01CCA INVEST OB 03


They are more closer now to the system than from the gulf coast so in an hour or less they will be there.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
hurricanefreak1988
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 869
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 10:13 pm
Location: Fayetteville, NC
Contact:
Contact hurricanefreak1988

#40 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Jun 28, 2005 2:30 pm

Now that's more like it. That thing looks pretty good. This one's gotta be Bret. 3-2 score? :P
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hammy and 541 guests