upper level low in bay of campeche

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Brent
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#21 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 17, 2005 3:32 pm

LOL...

I don't see anything. This is going inside the NHC cone(which BTW still includes South Texas).
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#22 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Jul 17, 2005 3:32 pm

Could be a little off track, but not too far
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#23 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 3:35 pm

Brent wrote:LOL...

I don't see anything. This is going inside the NHC cone(which BTW still includes South Texas).


Oh itll def stay inside the cone...no blown forecast here.
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#24 Postby HouTXmetro » Sun Jul 17, 2005 3:36 pm

The trough over Texas is still holding strong. I can hear the thunder outside as I type.
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#25 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 4:03 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:The trough over Texas is still holding strong. I can hear the thunder outside as I type.


good point...if you don't believe us read the 5pm discussion...some models have trended northward over the last couple of runs...i will really be watching this thing...
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#26 Postby HouTXmetro » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:02 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:The trough over Texas is still holding strong. I can hear the thunder outside as I type.


good point...if you don't believe us read the 5pm discussion...some models have trended northward over the last couple of runs...i will really be watching this thing...


Northward to B-ville or further north?
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canegrl04
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#27 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:06 pm

We've had overcast skies and some sprinkles today where I live in North Texas
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#28 Postby BLHutch » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:11 pm

Raining here too. Has been off and on all day. Impressive thunder this morning as well.

Brady
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#29 Postby swimaster20 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:13 pm

It will be very interesting to see what happens with Emily once she emerges from the Yucatan.
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#30 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:14 pm

Interesting that just yestersay,our local forecast for Monday was a 20% chance of rain.Now they are saying 40%,and a 30% chance as late as Thursday. Should have a big influence on Emily in she gets in gom
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#31 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:17 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:The trough over Texas is still holding strong. I can hear the thunder outside as I type.


good point...if you don't believe us read the 5pm discussion...some models have trended northward over the last couple of runs...i will really be watching this thing...


Northward to B-ville or further north?


Beeville is 36 miles NW land wise from Corpus Christi if that helps we all form adjacent counties.
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mvtrucking
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#32 Postby mvtrucking » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:29 pm

Would someone please explain what the rain drops in Houston and north Texas have to do with the track of the hurricane? Do these storms move toward the rainy systems in Texas? Or what is the significance?Thanks
Last edited by mvtrucking on Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#33 Postby hicksta » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:29 pm

means the troph is sticking around
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#34 Postby HouTXmetro » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:46 pm

Man, the ULL in the BOC is really hanging tough. Look at the convection firing around the western coast of the Yucatan.

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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dixiebreeze
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#35 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:18 pm

Emily will eventually turn more north IMHO.
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Steve
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#36 Postby Steve » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:37 pm

In that ORCA loop, 99L looks to be hanging pretty tough too. I was beginning to think there was no shot to bust the shear zone, but it looks like it's not willing to give up anytime soon.

Steve
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#37 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:39 pm

That loop shows emily slowing.
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#38 Postby jwayne » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:41 pm

been gone for the last 4 hours. Looks like that "blown forecast track" call may be coming true after all. Now I really smell a Claudette type situation (and yes, I have already taken a shower).
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#39 Postby stormie_skies » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:42 pm

Normandy wrote:That loop shows emily slowing.


I hope not....that would be awful on so many levels. :eek: First, a slow moving Em would do SO much more damage to the Yucatan. And second, if she slows significantly, it has the potential to allow for a change in the steering currents over the Gulf....
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Normandy
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#40 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:43 pm

Well it shows either a slowing or a NW turn....it def doesnt continue plowing westward in that loop.
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