Franklin naked swirl starting to move WSW now?

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Air Force Met
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#21 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:05 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:The 00z models also just came out and show a different set of solutions.

<RICKY>

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm


Now thats what I call a model spread!

I think now it is some pretty weak currents. I think it is basically following the convection. Where ever the convection goes...it goes. Right now the convection is moving more SE than it was earlier (which was south). We'll be able to see if this is the case in a couple of hours...if the center starts to move SE. Then it will be a simple matter of following the upper level stearing since that is where the convection is going to go.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#22 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:05 pm

This storm is trying to pull a Kyle. This could be interesting next couple of days.
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#23 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:07 pm

any chance of the center pulling the covection around it...or would it just follow the convection?
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#24 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:11 pm

Eyes2theSkies wrote:any chance of the center pulling the covection around it...or would it just follow the convection?


To much shear. There is a chance some convection could form on the northern side...but doubtful it will wrap any of it around in the near future. The environment is too hostile for that. Plus there is a lot of dry air on the north side...so anything that forms won't last.
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