92L Invest up

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

I've seen a set up with the ridge down the road (probably gfs) that shows it halfway over florida and another high in the western part of the gulf, making a nice little pathway between them somewhere between New Orleans and SW Florida for any curving system that is following the southern periphery of the atlantic ridge to travel through.

[otowntiger]

I have a question. I will have to expose my ignorance here because no else as ignorant as me will ask. What is S.A.L.? There have been some other posts about it and I'm assuming it has to do with the big dust storm that originated in Africa. I've read comments about development not happening due to it's presence but it is never mentioned officially on the NHC site. I tried Google and got no answers. I usually wait for someone else as dumb as me to ask and then I'll get my answer, but so far no one has.

Saharan Air Layer, don't ask me what it is though.

Thanks Roxy. Now to figure out what it is and how if affects storm development. Sorry Cycloneye for throwing this onto your thread. I don't like to start new threads and I thought you or someone else could help me out.

[Duffy]

that's what i like, non stop action Baby
bring em on, bring em on lol

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Another clue to the synoptic setup in the long term comes out of Ruskin (Tampa) NWS this morning:

.LONG TERM (THU NIGHT-TUE)...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DIFFERENCES IN
LONG TERM. WILL GO WITH BLEND...FOR UPPER TROF EXTENDING FROM THE
GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE DEEP SOUTH WITH ASSOCIATED SFC FRONT/TROF
DRAPED/STALLED FROM HATTERAS TO THE N GULF COAST REGION WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE SW FLOW THRU THE COLUMN EARLY IN THE PERIOD...SO WILL KEEP
SCT DIURNAL POPS INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPS NEAR NORMAL. UPPER TO
SFC TROUGHINESS TO WEAKEN AS WEAK RIDGING TRIES TO BUILD BACK OVER
FROM THE W ATLANTIC. FROM THERE MODELS DIVERGE FURTHER WITH POSSIBLE
TUTT FEATURE MOVING FROM THE NE CARIB TO NEAR THE S FL PENINSULA LATE
IN THE PERIOD. WILL HOLD FCST CLOSE TO CLIMO WITH FEATURES
STILL DEVELOPING ATTM.

Could be another Ivan/Dennis setup? For the panhandle's sake, let's hope not!

Then again, maybe the trough could make whatever this is go fish if it makes it east to the atlantic in time! -and builds far enough south to pick up the storm to be!

[cycloneye]

There is an error in the orientation of the sat pic and the initial model plots.Or this invest is for wave at around 38w or is for wave just emerging Africa.I hope this can be cleared up soon.

[Duffy]

Please dont say that, i HJATE Fish Storms lol
They're terrible for ratings, i love the rush and the excitement and the coverage!!!!!!
God i wish people would stop saying Fish all the time
its like a contridiction in terms
its like yous like the Weather, you like these Storms, but then when they form its like please weaken, please be a Fish
go figure

[HurryKane]

Please dont say that, i HJATE Fish Storms lol
They're terrible for ratings, i love the rush and the excitement and the coverage!!!!!!
God i wish people would stop saying Fish all the time
its like a contridiction in terms
its like yous like the Weather, you like these Storms, but then when they form its like please weaken, please be a Fish
go figure

Well then. I root for a cat 5 on your doorstep. Then you get to feeeel the true powerrrrr of such a storm.

[msbee]

ok, now that we are all eagerly..or not so eagerly..watching 92L, can we focus on where it goes first?
i.e., which if any islands
It's way to early to be talking about Floride or GOM and we in the islands are the first in line, if it develops.
I know there are only a few of us here but please don't forget us and our concerns
Thanks

[dhweather]

The thought of the H storm before August is still unbelieveable.

[Coredesat]

Model plot image, though the way those plots look, it may not be much help:

[x-y-no]

From this morning's ascending QS pass:




Unfortunately, the area named in the invest was missed, but there's a fair circulation nearer to 40W.

Wonder if those coordinates are just a mistake.

[cycloneye]

From this morning's ascending QS pass:




Unfortunately, the area named in the invest was missed, but there's a fair circulation nearer to 40W.

Wonder if those coordinates are just a mistake.

Jan you didn't read my post above.

[Duffy]

lol bring it on Hurrykane!

[beachbum_al]

Could be another Ivan/Dennis setup? For the panhandle's sake, let's hope not!

Then again, maybe the trough could make whatever this is go fish if it makes it east to the atlantic in time! -and builds far enough south to pick up the storm to be!

I hope this is not another Ivan or Dennis. I don't think the people in Alabama and Florida can handle another storm right now. Gulf Shores and Orange Beach are still picking up the pieces but are coming along. And Florida...well I feel so sorry for them. I was just down in Milton over the weekend helping my sister move her stuff in storage. She just sold her house and they are building a new one near by. The area was hit hard. It was sad driving through there because I knew what they were going through. It will make them stronger in the end but right now I know they don't see that.

Of course I know that we can't control mother nature either!

[beachbum_al]

The thought of the H storm before August is still unbelieveable.

The way this season is going I would not be surprise if we make it to J.

[x-y-no]

OK, Luis, I admit it ... I was lazy.

[WeatherEmperor]

OK, Luis, I admit it ... I was lazy.

yeah lazy bones! appologize now!lol

<RICKY>

[beachbum_al]

Hey we have to be lazy sometimes. Someone go clean the condos for me today please!

[HurricaneQueen]

Barb,

I, for one, am thinking of all of you in the islands. You are the line of first defense and too little is made of what happens down there. We have so many wonderful members from the Caribbean who are part of this family.

Lynn

[dhweather]

OK, Luis, I admit it ... I was lazy.

DROP AND GIVE US 50 RIGHT NOW !!!!