Invest 97L,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
mahicks
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 329
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 10:25 pm

#21 Postby mahicks » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:29 pm

In the words of Napoleon Dynamite,
(AS I hit the living hell out of my tether ball.......).......................


YES!!!.....................YES!!!.............YES!!!............YES!!!!!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gorky
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 334
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:23 am
Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire, UK

#22 Postby Gorky » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:29 pm

There is still a fair amount of shear in the area and ahead of it. Tendency shows more of it dying dfown than strengthening, but it may impact its development.
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#23 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:29 pm

jabber wrote:Thats a LOT of energy,


Yep. Now we just have to wait and see if it maintains itself and if conditions are/will be obliging for development.
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#24 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:31 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
jabber wrote:Thats a LOT of energy,


Yep. Now we just have to wait and see if it maintains itself and if conditions are/will be obliging for development.


ah that is the million dollar question. can it maintain itself?

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#25 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:34 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
CapeVerdeWave wrote:
jabber wrote:Thats a LOT of energy,


Yep. Now we just have to wait and see if it maintains itself and if conditions are/will be obliging for development.


ah that is the million dollar question. can it maintain itself?

<RICKY>

Yeah, if this is another Irene or TD 10 I will just blow my top :lol:
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#26 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:36 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:ah that is the million dollar question. can it maintain itself?

<RICKY>


There is some pretty dry air in the central to west-central Atlantic, stretching all the way west to the Lesser Antilles. That should be watched and condition patterns as well to determine if the dry air will be stubborn and effect newly formed INVEST.97L and other systems.

Here is the still, current water vapor image:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/WV/20.jpg

Certainly is a lot of dry air!
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#27 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:37 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
CapeVerdeWave wrote:
jabber wrote:Thats a LOT of energy,


Yep. Now we just have to wait and see if it maintains itself and if conditions are/will be obliging for development.


ah that is the million dollar question. can it maintain itself?

<RICKY>

Yeah, if this is another Irene or TD 10 I will just blow my top :lol:


lol me too! Ill go crazy but hey I guess thats what the tropics are all about.

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#28 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:37 pm

But it does have a decent moisture shield to the N and W.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cinlfla
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 687
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:16 pm
Location: Titusville, Florida on the Spacecoast

#29 Postby cinlfla » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:38 pm

Yeah, if this is another Irene or TD 10 I will just blow my top


LOL, I feel your pain, I think I have developed a nervous twitch from watching td 10. Omg how stressful, but I love tropical weather so I can't help myself.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11166
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

#30 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:39 pm

with most of the models jumping on this and the last discussion, i dont think this will be a pre irene or td10
Last edited by Ivanhater on Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#31 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:40 pm

I think it would be funny if the SAL evaporated it tomorrow...
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#32 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:42 pm

Sanibel wrote:I think it would be funny if the SAL evaporated it tomorrow...


I would go like "noooooooooooo!!"

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#33 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:42 pm

ivanhater wrote:with most of the models jumping on this and the last discussion, i dont think this will be a pre irene or td10


Still, it will be important how conditions in the central and western Atlantic will fare for this system over the next several days. That should be monitored.
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#34 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:47 pm

No Tropical Model run yet for 97L but I guess that by the 6:00z run they will come out.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#35 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:54 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Has the makings of another Gilbert :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg


It looks like a bad one... :eek:

Long-tracker.

:slime:

Lull cancel. :D
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#36 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:55 pm

Sanibel wrote:I think it would be funny if the SAL evaporated it tomorrow...


Booooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Die SAL!!! :grr:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
LAwxrgal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1763
Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)

#37 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:56 pm

Brent wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Has the makings of another Gilbert :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg


It looks like a bad one... :eek:

Long-tracker.

:slime:

Lull cancel. :D


What lull? Didn't we have a hurricane during this so-called "lull"? LOL :lol:
0 likes   
Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#38 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:57 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:What lull? Didn't we have a hurricane during this so-called "lull"? LOL :lol:


Oh yeah... Irene. :roll:

*yawn*
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#39 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:57 pm

Brent wrote:
Sanibel wrote:I think it would be funny if the SAL evaporated it tomorrow...


Booooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Die SAL!!! :grr:


I second the motion.

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#40 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Aug 20, 2005 8:58 pm

Brent wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Has the makings of another Gilbert :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg


It looks like a bad one... :eek:

Long-tracker.

:slime:

Lull cancel. :D


Hopefully you are being sarcastic Brent....

No need for anyone to agree that this is a Gilbert type of scenario...;)
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2000 and 318 guests