TS Katrina,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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artist
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#21 Postby artist » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:33 am

what you were looking at was the precipitation chart, the wind is showing around 100-111 when it hits Florida in the first chart (at least that's how I am reading it)
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#22 Postby wxwatcher91 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:36 am

so what intensity will the NHC have Katrina at at 11am?

Code: Select all

SHORTLY BEFORE 8 AM EDT...REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS IN
THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE HAD INCREASED TO [b]AT LEAST 40 MPH[/b]


they say AT LEAST 40... will the NHC initialize at 40 or higher?

the models started at 35kt (40) so I'm guessing thats what the NHC is gonna go with...
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#23 Postby JPmia » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:37 am

Boca, I have to agree with you...the satellite imagery of her is looking much better. Anyone agree?
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#24 Postby gatorcane » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:40 am

The NHC will be changing the intensity forecast later this morning....
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#25 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:42 am

Should be 40mph at 11am unless some new info tells TPC otherwise.
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#26 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:43 am

JPmia wrote:Boca, I have to agree with you...the satellite imagery of her is looking much better. Anyone agree?
Look at the growth of circulation and convection in just this little time!!!!http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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#27 Postby gatorcane » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:45 am

I said the forecast....they may leave it at 40mph at 11 but expect them to increase the forecast....
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#28 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:48 am

artist wrote:what you were looking at was the precipitation chart, the wind is showing around 100-111 when it hits Florida in the first chart (at least that's how I am reading it)


On the second landfall it says 143 on the dirty side on 8/29.

Open the GFDL chart again http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/GFDL ... ml#picture , click "f120" in the bar above the images, and then see the chart on the bottom left side.
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#29 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Aug 24, 2005 8:50 am

GalvestonDuck wrote:
artist wrote:what you were looking at was the precipitation chart, the wind is showing around 100-111 when it hits Florida in the first chart (at least that's how I am reading it)


On the second landfall it says 143 on the dirty side on 8/29.

Open the GFDL chart again http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/GFDL ... ml#picture , click "f120" in the bar above the images, and then see the chart on the bottom left side.

947mb Pressure!!!!! :blowup:
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#30 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:00 am

A nice close look at this now on visible Floater at..........


http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... pical.html
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#31 Postby frederic79 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:02 am

Looks like the center of circulation is showing up on Miami long range dopplar. Take a look...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kamx.shtml
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#32 Postby chris_fit » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 am

Dean4Storms wrote:A nice close look at this now on visible Floater at..........


http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... pical.html



Cool :grrr:
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#33 Postby hiflyer » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:08 am

Here we go.....NBC6 in MIA streaming their 10am news/weather live
http://www.nbc6.net/index.html

and WSVN7 at MIA streaming live traffic cams with live news
http://www.wsvn.com/video/
:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#34 Postby frederic79 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:12 am

Uh, I may be wrong but it looks like a west to wnw motion on radar. Thoughts?
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#35 Postby storms in NC » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:14 am

I just looked and is moving NW
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#36 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:15 am

hiflyer wrote:Here we go.....NBC6 in MIA streaming their 10am news/weather live
http://www.nbc6.net/index.html

and WSVN7 at MIA streaming live traffic cams with live news
http://www.wsvn.com/video/
:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:


Thanks for those links, Hiflyer! I appreciate being able to tune in and watch news that "local" to the watch/warning areas.
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#37 Postby dwg71 » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:16 am

storms in NC wrote:I just looked and is moving NW


Or even NNW, I don't see my original call of WPB as a very likely scenerio, I'm beginning to doubt a FL landfall all together.
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#38 Postby mahicks » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:18 am

I read a thread last night that Recon would be doing a synopsis drop of the atmosphere today. Does anyone know if that is still a go, and if so...When can we expect that data to be pumped into the models and run?

Just would like to know, I think once this happens we'll get a more accurate understanding just how strong the weakness in the ridge is or isn't...

and then....sigh................the models will shift.....
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#39 Postby storms in NC » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:18 am

dwg71 wrote:
storms in NC wrote:I just looked and is moving NW


Or even NNW, I don't see my original call of WPB as a very likely scenerio, I'm beginning to doubt a FL landfall all together.


Why you say that? They have it going there and across Fla. But We will see what the day brings :wink:
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#40 Postby Rainband » Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:20 am

storms in NC wrote:
dwg71 wrote:
storms in NC wrote:I just looked and is moving NW


Or even NNW, I don't see my original call of WPB as a very likely scenerio, I'm beginning to doubt a FL landfall all together.


Why you say that? They have it going there and across Fla. But We will see what the day brings :wink:
It will. Just depends on where. The high to the north will prevent it from missing Florida.
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