Rita and the Upper Texas Coast

#21 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:57 am

DJJordan wrote:And that is why it's very important to spread the word even mouth to mouth. Tell your neighbors and relatives of the impending storm that possibly could hit later this week. Just give people a heads up. Just my two cents.

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I couldn't agree more with you. Then they can't say "we didn't know". I told some family members last night that we could be staring a 'cane in the face by weeks end. However, I must credit our local OCM's as they are taking this very seriously and warning viewers that we well may be under the gun later this week. Of cousre some decisions about evacuations along the coastal areas will need to be made on Weds/Thurs.

Johnny · #22 Postby **Johnny** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:03 am

Could this be the next big one for the Houston/Galveston area? It's been a long time since Alicia rolled through my neighborhood.

With this latest trend of models, things don't look too good for us but things will more than likely change...for the better or for worse is still up in the air.

KatDaddy · #23 Postby **KatDaddy** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:10 am

I am doing my job also. I sent out an email to the entire office this morning telling everyone to review family safety plans and be ready for evacuations.

Rita will likely be one of the most devasting hurricane to strike the TX Coast. Waters are extremely warm and upper level conditions will be perfect for intensification.

ImpactWeather indicated it could be 140-145G170-175MPH by landfall along the TX Coast.

This really is looking like the big one for the Upper TX Coast.

hicksta · #24 Postby **hicksta** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:18 am

Currently at school and it amazes me that we are now in the center. Living on galveston bay my whole life damn not good

#25 Postby **loon** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:19 am

Depends on where you are from Johnny, hehe. I've noticed the LA folks say its gonna keep coming their way, and the Upper Texas Folks (me included) say its coming their way. We need some people from Mexico to go ahead and round out the discussion. =]

By Wednesday, I hope somebody has a better clue because Evac's will have to start in the Gulf Coast Houston Area due to a much increased population between Houston and Galveston in the last 5 years. I would think as early as Wednesday night they would need to make the call.

raynpa · #26 Postby **raynpa** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:21 am

Are you ready for your crow yet Katdaddy?

#27 Postby **windsurfer77058** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:22 am

Channel 13 just said Houston is the target at this point for Saturday landfall. But he did say it can change.

southerngale · #28 Postby **southerngale** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:25 am

loon wrote:Depends on where you are from Johnny, hehe. I've noticed the LA folks say its gonna keep coming their way, and the Upper Texas Folks (me included) say its coming their way. We need some people from Mexico to go ahead and round out the discussion. =]

By Wednesday, I hope somebody has a better clue because Evac's will have to start in the Gulf Coast Houston Area due to a much increased population between Houston and Galveston in the last 5 years. I would think as early as Wednesday night they would need to make the call.

That's a good thing. Everyone needs to be prepared since we don't know exactly where it is going.

CajunMama · #29 Postby **CajunMama** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:26 am

raynpa wrote:Are you ready for your crow yet Katdaddy?

Was this really necessary raynpa? :roll:

Do you know something we don't know? KatDaddy is just trying to prepare people he knows. Preparation never hurt anyone.

Cape Verde · #30 Postby **Cape Verde** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:27 am

windsurfer77058 wrote:Channel 13 just said Houston is the target at this point for Saturday landfall. But he did say it can change.

It can and will change, but it can also change back to how it looks right now.If it's still pointing toward Houston on Wednesday, it'll be high time to prepare in earnest.

raynpa · #31 Postby **raynpa** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:28 am

CajunMama wrote:
raynpa wrote:Are you ready for your crow yet Katdaddy?

Was this really necessary raynpa? Do you know something we don't know? KatDaddy is just trying to prepare people he knows. Preparation never hurt anyone.

I was refering to the bold post Katdaddy made a couple of days ago...Saying Texas safe again!

hicksta · #32 Postby **hicksta** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:28 am

In my non expert theory, As it did with Katrina aimed it for Middle LA and hit NO. I think this storm will still hit a little south of freeport. I think the models will come back south

#33 Postby **Roxy** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:30 am

hicksta wrote:In my non expert theory, As it did with Katrina aimed it for Middle LA and hit NO. I think this storm will still hit a little south of freeport. I think the models will come back south

That's really bad news for Galveston if that pans out.

hicksta · #34 Postby **hicksta** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:47 am

True, but we need to wait till the models agree good. They are still flip flopping. We should have a good guess after its off FL

#35 Postby **Houstonia** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:54 am

Roxy wrote:
hicksta wrote:In my non expert theory, As it did with Katrina aimed it for Middle LA and hit NO. I think this storm will still hit a little south of freeport. I think the models will come back south

That's really bad news for Galveston if that pans out.

It's going to be REALLY bad news for New Orleans if this doesn't pan out and it goes north instead (as hurricanes tend to do). New Orleans, I think, feels that they got their due and of course no other storm could hit it.

But what if ti does? I hope they are preparing for the possibility too!!

mahmoo · #36 Postby **mahmoo** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:57 am

I don't recall Katrina's projected path ever being pointed towards the middle of LA......seems that it was always directed right at the NO vicinity.

#37 Postby **Roxy** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:58 am

I'm no met, but I've got a hunch NO will be fine. I could see it going as north as the TX/LA border......

But I agree, it'll shift one way, then back then shift again and on and on.

Eitherway, it's coming this direction and I anticipate evacs.

#38 Postby **loon** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 12:00 pm

I was wondering this myself. I remember early on, Katrina was pointed at the Big Bend area then shifted to LA/MS/LA borders.....when did this take place? 5 days out? More? Less? I'm just curious, as it seems they've been getting closer on path 3-5 days, but my memory could be faulty, as usually happens when you are in the cone.

cheers,
loon

#39 Postby **Houstonia** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 12:01 pm

Roxy wrote:I'm no met, but I've got a hunch NO will be fine. I could see it going as north as the TX/LA border......

But I agree, it'll shift one way, then back then shift again and on and on.

Eitherway, it's coming this direction and I anticipate evacs.

I've got a question about evacuations. I've asked it before, and I think vbhoutex answered. Under what circumstances would evacuations be called for places OTHER THAN Galveston, League City, etc. I mean central Harris County evacuations. My parents live in southwest Houston and I would like to know if an evacuation would ever be called for that area, and under what circumstances.

thankie!

Cape Verde · #40 Postby **Cape Verde** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 12:05 pm

mahmoo wrote:I don't recall Katrina's projected path ever being pointed towards the middle of LA......seems that it was always directed right at the NO vicinity.

Katrina was never forecast to hit west of New Orleans. In fact, in the preceding week, the NHC forecast was as far east as Tampa and it only slowly edged it west with each model runI wasn't until Friday when the models all aligned with New Orleans as the bullseye that the NHC shifted the track to the one it took.

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