Is Corpus Christi off the hook?

[inotherwords]

Take a look at the wind fields on the Skeetobite map to get an idea of how far various speeds of sustained winds would extend outward.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picser ... p?t=t&m=18

[SoupBone]

Its way, WAY too early to tell if you are off the hook. I don't think that can be determined until the storm is substantially above your lattitude. I have to agree with Windy here. This is a rather ignorant question and suppossition this far out. For crying out loud the storm is large and getting larger and stronger and is headed in your general direction. There is no way you are in the clear and for you to begin to think that you are is rather ignorant at this point don't you think? You are almost baiting people to jump on your case when you pose such a question at this time.

Look man so maybe it was worded wrong but the rudeness just shows your own personality. Let me re-word the question. Right now it seems as though the high is firmly in place and Rita seems to be right on track. All models are tightly clustered. This would give an indication that SE LA is faring a lot better this morning wouldn't it? Is that better for you?

I wasn't being rude...no need for your rudeness at all.

[Thunder44]

Ill wait and see tomorrow to get a better idea, as of right now Im felling a little bit better. People and family ive talked to today are watching and talking but the impression i get is they are buying into the little black line, which is well north of here. Corpus is a fairly large city of at least 300 thousand, plus a major port of oil products etc. if Rita does not take that north turn at the last moment this city has a BIG problem. Also we here do not have shelters that will open because the Red Cross years ago told our city it was too risky to do so. We use to have shelters. I have been watching storms all my life and I know how unpredictable they can be, but the NHC has been getting better every year so Im could be buying into their " Black Line".

You are the same person that started the thread a couple weeks ago that Texas looked like it was going to escape a hurricane threat this year.

Do you pay attention the cone at all? TPC wants you to pay as much attention to cone as you would the black line. The black line itself isn't that far from CC anyway. It's not like it's over 300 miles or so away.

I know you want to be positive, but you really need to wise up. No portion of Texas is off the hook at this time.

[skysummit]

Plus, those models would be a little too close for comfort for my liking.....

[Brent]

Southern eyewall???

I don't get this whole "Oh I'm off the hook" thing... IGNORE THE FREAKING BLACK LINE.

[skysummit]

Southern eyewall???

I don't get this whole "Oh I'm off the hook" thing... IGNORE THE FREAKING BLACK LINE.

I'm starting to think they just wanted attention...well, they got it now.

[PortA61]

I would most definitely not let my guard down. I don't like to admit it - but I'm old enough to remember Carla quite well and remember that there was damage up and down the Texas coast. Even those somewhat inland should be aware of potential dangers. We are in San Antonio and will probably not get that much bad weather if it comes in north of Corpus, but we still went out last night to make sure we had no tree limbs overhanging the roof and to pick up some things in the yard that could be blown around. Take care!

[karenfromheaven]

Hmmm, looks like NHC Advisory 16 plops the little black line right on top of you. Actually, I'm totally OK with focusing on the black line; I do it all the time. The thing to remember is that the black line can shift from advisory to advisory. I usually assume that if I'm in the cone, the line could shift on top of me at any time. So between now and the next advisory, its "tag, you're it." If you wish to gamble that the line will shift off you next advisory, that's your choice. Katrina's line flipped on and off me several times before it shifted to NOLA and stayed there for good. Has the musical chair music stopped, or will you get another chance? I for one, don't know. Try to focus clearly on the consequences of your choice. Leaving when the storm misses you is inconvenient. Staying when it curves on top of you at the last minute is extremely uncomfortable at best, and potentially deadly at worst. Also, remember that the line is actually a fat line of destructive wind and water. I like that Univ. of Central FL site which plots the types of destructive effects on either side of the projected path. It can help you see the extent of potential damage.

[otowntiger]

Its way, WAY too early to tell if you are off the hook. I don't think that can be determined until the storm is substantially above your lattitude. I have to agree with Windy here. This is a rather ignorant question and suppossition this far out. For crying out loud the storm is large and getting larger and stronger and is headed in your general direction. There is no way you are in the clear and for you to begin to think that you are is rather ignorant at this point don't you think? You are almost baiting people to jump on your case when you pose such a question at this time.

Look man so maybe it was worded wrong but the rudeness just shows your own personality. Let me re-word the question. Right now it seems as though the high is firmly in place and Rita seems to be right on track. All models are tightly clustered. This would give an indication that SE LA is faring a lot better this morning wouldn't it? Is that better for you?

I wasn't being rude...no need for your rudeness at all.

Lighten up, and don't be so darned sensitive. I was directing my comments to the guy/lady in Corpus. SE La is probablyl fine. BTW, I'm a BTR native, I'd never be intentionaly rude to you or anybody for that matter. I just couldn't resist responding to that question about Corpus Christi because it was so ridiculous, don't ya think?

[SoupBone]

Its way, WAY too early to tell if you are off the hook. I don't think that can be determined until the storm is substantially above your lattitude. I have to agree with Windy here. This is a rather ignorant question and suppossition this far out. For crying out loud the storm is large and getting larger and stronger and is headed in your general direction. There is no way you are in the clear and for you to begin to think that you are is rather ignorant at this point don't you think? You are almost baiting people to jump on your case when you pose such a question at this time.

Look man so maybe it was worded wrong but the rudeness just shows your own personality. Let me re-word the question. Right now it seems as though the high is firmly in place and Rita seems to be right on track. All models are tightly clustered. This would give an indication that SE LA is faring a lot better this morning wouldn't it? Is that better for you?

I wasn't being rude...no need for your rudeness at all.

Lighten up, and don't be so darned sensitive. I was directing my comments to the guy/lady in Corpus. SE La is probablyl fine. BTW, I'm a BTR native, I'd never be intentionaly rude to you or anybody for that matter. I just couldn't resist responding to that question about Corpus Christi because it was so ridiculous, don't ya think?

My bad man...I thought you were reffering to me. I definately know to not let my guard down so soon in the game. I just though SE LA looked pretty good right now. If this thing inches Easterly and makes a TX/LA landing...what would BR be experiencing in the way of winds?

[Windy]

What the... can you people not read? I know there are no such things as dumb questions, but this one really makes me wonder. Why would someone ask this question when the cone of uncertainty clearly indicates you're not off the hook? Does the NHC need to have a little text bubble under the cone that says "HEY YOU! YEAH, YOU IN THE BUBBLE! YOU'RE NOT OFF THE HOOK YET! DUH!" ?

22% chance you will see TS winds in CC.
11% chance you will see hurricane winds in CC.

Windy just becuase you are a S2K Supporter does not mean you can be rude to others on this board, which by the way is the second time you have done this to me. Im sorry if the thread's title may seem stupid to you, but the thread is about people falling into a false sence of secuity bcause their area does not have the black line run through their area, which by the way @6:30 am the NHC is still sticking to their guns for a landfall north and east of here. So yeah after every update I feel more at ease.

So you started a thread asking if you're safe to illustrate what "false sense of security" feels like? Huh?

Trust me, the mods don't show favoritism to people who slip them a few bucks.

I'm not being rude to you, I'm being flabbergasted. My point stands. Even starting a thread with a topic like this is irresponsible. Nobody who has used this board for any amount of time should be asking such a ridiculous question. Everyone here knows that the thin black line is not what you go by. Right now a lot of non-weather-nerds are combing this board for information, and when someone from CC stops by and sees a thread like this, guess what they get? A false sense of security. Unless a lot of people like me come in and discount the entire thrust of thread as being ridiculous.

But hey, don't trust me, trust the NHC products that are freely available to you and everyone else in the world.

Still feel safe? Did ya notice you have the same or nearly the same strike probs as Galveston and Freeport and Port O Connor and Brownsville? But hey, feel free to continue growing your completely false sense of security. It's not like it could get you killed or anything.

[otowntiger]

Its way, WAY too early to tell if you are off the hook. I don't think that can be determined until the storm is substantially above your lattitude. I have to agree with Windy here. This is a rather ignorant question and suppossition this far out. For crying out loud the storm is large and getting larger and stronger and is headed in your general direction. There is no way you are in the clear and for you to begin to think that you are is rather ignorant at this point don't you think? You are almost baiting people to jump on your case when you pose such a question at this time.

Look man so maybe it was worded wrong but the rudeness just shows your own personality. Let me re-word the question. Right now it seems as though the high is firmly in place and Rita seems to be right on track. All models are tightly clustered. This would give an indication that SE LA is faring a lot better this morning wouldn't it? Is that better for you?

I wasn't being rude...no need for your rudeness at all.

Lighten up, and don't be so darned sensitive. I was directing my comments to the guy/lady in Corpus. SE La is probablyl fine. BTW, I'm a BTR native, I'd never be intentionaly rude to you or anybody for that matter. I just couldn't resist responding to that question about Corpus Christi because it was so ridiculous, don't ya think?

My bad man...I thought you were reffering to me. I definately know to not let my guard down so soon in the game. I just though SE LA looked pretty good right now. If this thing inches Easterly and makes a TX/LA landing...what would BR be experiencing in the way of winds?

I think if she hits arount the LA/TX border (which is a big if) BR would get a pretty good blow. It all depends on how wide she expands her wind field before landfall. I'd guess that strong tropical storm force winds would not be out of the question, perhaps hurricane force gusts, not to mention tornado potential as you'd be on that dreaded NE quadrant. I don't think she will go that far east, JMHO though, as always depend on the NHC. BTW: Geaux Tigers! I hope Rita stays far enough away to not affect the game.