Invest 94L,Comments,Sat Pics,Models thread

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mike815
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#21 Postby mike815 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 9:54 pm

The chances are very very slim actually 20+ knots shear dont have map.
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#22 Postby rjgator » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:13 pm

Image

Here is the 24 hour shear tendency (Changes) It looks to me that both systems have some serious red to deal with. It may be worth watching since the shear has been droping in both areas around 93L and 94L. This year anything can happen.

RJ[/img][/url]
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#23 Postby no advance » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:22 pm

Hopefully this wont negatively affect my surf trip to Rincon this wk. Any ideas.
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#24 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:30 pm

no advance wrote:Hopefully this wont negatively affect my surf trip to Rincon this wk. Any ideas.


Rincon?
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#25 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:31 pm

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED ABOUT 100
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN PRODUCING A
CONCENTRATED AREA OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE DEVELOPING
CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
APPEAR MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT... AND IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... THIS
SYSTEM COULD BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO
PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
ON SUNDAY.

10:30 Pm TWO
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#26 Postby mike815 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:32 pm

WOW come right out and say depression hmm... intersesting
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#27 Postby O Town » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:33 pm

Thanks rjgator. Now I see why this invests looks so good right now. If shear stays anywhere near what it is now to the north, then it will not have a good chance at all for further development. But she sure looks pretty tonight.
Image
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#28 Postby fuzzyblow » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:40 pm

Brent wrote:OK... what month is it again? :lol:


Heuu... ''the month after tomorow''... :wink:
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#29 Postby boca » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:44 pm

If 94L were to develop which way would she go?
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#30 Postby O Town » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:46 pm

Image
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#31 Postby O Town » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:47 pm

So it may be headed toward less shear. Hummm.
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#32 Postby fuzzyblow » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:49 pm

WindRunner wrote:Ahh, you naysayer! The both of you! Let us have our fun, even if it is only one night! We don't get two invests within 9 hours in the middle of Novemeber very often, now do we? :lol:

LOL, you must have great succes with women... :boog:
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#33 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 10:56 pm

fuzzyblow wrote:
WindRunner wrote:Ahh, you naysayer! The both of you! Let us have our fun, even if it is only one night! We don't get two invests within 9 hours in the middle of Novemeber very often, now do we? :lol:

LOL, you must have great succes with women... :boog:


:roflmao:

But he's only 14. :lol:
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#34 Postby caribepr » Sat Nov 12, 2005 11:04 pm

no advance wrote:Hopefully this wont negatively affect my surf trip to Rincon this wk. Any ideas.


Could just mean great surf (I love Rincon! Brent, Rincon is a town on the west coast of PR known for its great surf - it's also really pretty there, and great people)
On the other hand, I was supposed to go sailing to Vieques, leaving tomorrow evening and then St. Thomas for a few days...so I know how you are feeling. Pack or not?
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#35 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 12, 2005 11:54 pm

fuzzyblow wrote:
WindRunner wrote:Ahh, you naysayer! The both of you! Let us have our fun, even if it is only one night! We don't get two invests within 9 hours in the middle of Novemeber very often, now do we? :lol:

LOL, you must have great succes with women... :boog:


:roflmao:
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#36 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Nov 12, 2005 11:54 pm

Here is what TAFB has to say:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/dan ... testBW.gif
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#37 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 12, 2005 11:56 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Here is what TAFB has to say:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/dan ... testBW.gif


They don't sound very optimistic... a very tiny area for possible development.
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#38 Postby JTD » Sat Nov 12, 2005 11:57 pm

Model runs tend to indicate no fish.
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#39 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Nov 12, 2005 11:59 pm

I don't know about you all but, i think we have a tropical depression?!?

definite low lever swirl with high cloud tops around it.

Image
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#40 Postby btangy » Sun Nov 13, 2005 1:18 am

Image

TMI overpass at 2-3Z right over 94L. On board radar reveals a big, healthy looking curved band. Definitely improving in structure since this morning.
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