Africa and ITCZ jucier by the day......

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jimvb
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The Picture

#21 Postby jimvb » Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:19 pm

This is the picture. It is at this URL, but the URL will not be good 24 hours from now:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 6_384s.gif

So I will try to put the picture itself in. Hope this picture will not intefere with viewing this thread. It is only a 640x480.

Image
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JonathanBelles
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#22 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:21 pm

thanx
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#23 Postby skysummit » Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:25 pm

OMG....384 hours out. BOARD UP!!! :lol:
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#24 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Apr 27, 2006 4:28 pm

Thoughs dark spots on the map look like jewels.
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#25 Postby NONAME » Thu Apr 27, 2006 7:04 pm

I remeber seeing a model beside the GFS that forcasted sumthing like that yesterday i think it what the flordia state model or nogaps cant remeber. :roll: :?:
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#26 Postby Patrick99 » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:59 pm

Now the question is, will we have any May action? I know not many have forecasted it, but it seems plausible to get a weak TS or subtropical action.
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#27 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Apr 28, 2006 3:23 pm

Patrick99 wrote:Now the question is, will we have any May action? I know not many have forecasted it, but it seems plausible to get a weak TS or subtropical action.


some May action is definitely not out of the question although through July, any tropical action will remain close to home and probably nothing in the east Atlantic.
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#28 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Apr 28, 2006 3:33 pm

looks like something MIGHT try to develop north off the coast of south america! Maybe something to watch in the next few days!
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#29 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Apr 28, 2006 3:40 pm

Image

LOL sometime to watch in 384 hours. I don't really tend to start looking at something until it is 5 days out. Even then it's still not much.
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#30 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Apr 28, 2006 3:54 pm

Most of the time a 5 day forecast is off target, a 16 day forecast is kind of crazy.
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General Idea

#31 Postby jimvb » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:10 pm

This GFS prediction may give a general idea of what is coming in the month of May. String of jewels - as though 11 named storms could develop in May?

I tried looking at the GFS now, at the 384 hour prediction map. No storms as I had described, but the string of pearls is still there (strike up the Glen Miller band). This time a storm leaps out of Venezuela and into the Leewards, heading NNE. Try running the GFS loop at high speed. Africa then looks like it's smoking something, and the storms of the ITCZ is the smoke coming out of its mouth.
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#32 Postby benny » Sat Apr 29, 2006 12:18 am

nothing the early-season gfs and its modelcanes... i am guilty of this as well, but i wouldn't put any stock in a genesis forecast beyond 10 days (7 is really pushing it). the skills especially in the summer are.. limited to say the least!!
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#33 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Apr 29, 2006 12:22 am

384 hr GFS is good eye candy but there is a better chance that cycloneye will never post here again than that verifying even remotely close.
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