Invest 90L E of Carolina's,Comments,Sat Pics Etc

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BensonTCwatcher
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#21 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:17 am

Loopyloo is defininetly a possibility, but if this system gains enough height, it looks like it's going to be pushed SE in the near term. If it does not get sheared, and hangs together, it may stall thereafter. Again, just a guess
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#22 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:21 am

Its funny how this isn't even in the TWO.
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#23 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:31 am

Scorpion wrote:Its funny how this isn't even in the TWO.


That's because it just started looking interesting later in the morning.
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#24 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:06 am

Scorpion wrote:Its funny how this isn't even in the TWO.


Usually, TWOs are to reflect tropical weather happenings within the next 36 hours. For what it's worth, 99L shouldn't have been in the TWO nearly as long as it has.
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#25 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:15 am

From the latest TWO


"An area of low pressure located about 150 miles east-southeast of
Cape Hatteras North Carolina is moving slowly east-southeastward.
Although the associated shower activity is not well-organized at
this time...this system has some potential for development over the
next day or so. "
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Scott_inVA
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#26 Postby Scott_inVA » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:15 am

senorpepr wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Its funny how this isn't even in the TWO.


Usually, TWOs are to reflect tropical weather happenings within the next 36 hours. For what it's worth, 99L shouldn't have been in the TWO nearly as long as it has.


Yep. Invest 90L came off VA/NC coast and is not tropical in origin.
Can't make the case this does anything but track east.

Very quick trigger this year with Invests.

Scott
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Lexington, VA
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#27 Postby stormtruth » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:30 am

Every invest is sacred. Every invest is great.
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#28 Postby Stormavoider » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:31 am

With this moisture plunging south (from New England), I get the impression 90L will have to go south.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html
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#29 Postby x-y-no » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:36 am

Floater 2 is on this system.
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#30 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:42 am

Look at this sat loop:
Hi-res Sat Loop Of 90L
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#31 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:49 am

Code: Select all

4. SUSPECT AREA (OFF CAROLINA COAST)
       FLIGHT ONE                    FLIGHT TWO
       A.  01/2100Z                  A.  02/1200Z
       B.  AFXXX 01EEA INVEST        B.  AFXXX 0204A CYCLONE
       C.  02/1715Z                  C.  02/0800Z
       D.  33.0N 70.0W               D.  32.0N 69.0W
       E.  01/2030Z TO 02/0000Z      E.  02/1130Z TO 1500Z
       F.  SFC TO 10,000 FT          F.  SFC TO 10,000 FT

     5.  SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK CONTINUE 12 HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
           DEVELOPES AND IS A THREAT

Figured that would be pretty interesting...I wonder if they will fly to it tomorrow...I think it needs to get some convection closer to the center first though...
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#32 Postby seaswing » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:56 am

Is this my imagination or does this thing look huge?
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#33 Postby LAwxrgal » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:05 am

Well, this one spun up quick. Was this even there yesterday? :lol:
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#34 Postby NONAME » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:10 am

No It came of the Coast this was from the leftover energy from the 98L by texas last week.
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#35 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:19 am

Image

I like the agreement between the models!!!
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#36 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:22 am

I doubt it will effect the US, but cool to look at.
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#37 Postby Regit » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:22 am

HURAKAN wrote:http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_90.gif

I like the agreement between the models!!!


:lol:

I hate it when storms are in this area with unclear steering currents. Remember what a headache Ophelia was?

Jeanne also was to the SE of this one and was a similar headache. It's going out to sea, no Cape Hatteras, no Florida, no Wilmington, no Florida again.
Last edited by Regit on Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#38 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:25 am

FWIW, we can go ahead and toss out BAMM and BAMD for this system. This system is still in its beginning stages where mid- and deep-layers won't be a factor. That leaves us with the climo model, UKMET, and simple extrapolation. At this point, I would tend to look at something close to extrapolation, maybe with an influence on climo.
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#39 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:27 am

I agree, this system(even if it survives) won't be anything to worry about
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#40 Postby hicksta » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:28 am

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :?:
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