BAM Model Spread for 91L...Stacking Issues?

[vacanechaser]

but could it be due to the gfs.... that model has its problems... i know that shear, or the trades are stronger right now.... so that would help push it along faster at lower levels...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[SouthFloridawx]

Mike, I wonder if there is some type of archive of model runs for all types of systems to see how the bamms have behaved in the past. This is starting to perk my interest a little to find out how the models began with a system that either ended up dying out or ended up becoming a deep layered feature (Tropical Cyclone). I would like to see the performance in the past of these models to see if there may be a trend in what might be going on this season. I know, I know it's not even peak yet but this could be a very interesting study.

[Javlin]

If you remember Mike and it really probably has nothing to do with the Bamm's but that the CMC model did extremely well with Ivan for some reason.The model always ended being the left side of the NHC's cone till the last 24-36 hrs it lost it then.

[clfenwi]

I don't know if anyone has a "pretty picture" archive of forecast models... the archive at Jonathan Vigh's site only extends back to July of last year.

The raw forecasts can be found at ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/atcf/archive/

The BAM entered operational use in 1988 as a single layer model and has been used since 1990 in the form that we know it now.

[SouthFloridawx]

bump.