Tropical Wave with Cyclonic Turning at 10N 53W

[Aric Dunn]

well for what its worth! it does look to be a little more impressive than I thought it was when i saw it this morning

two things that are going against it ... are the stable air (that should give way to unstable a little farther west) and the other is that its small and more likely just a simple ITCZ swirl.

although it does have a little more to it than the average Swirl! So there is a slightly higher possibility to see some try and get going

there is a clearly a small closed low if its all the way to surface that would help but if we see some more convection then maybe. just have to wait and see!

[Sanibel]

Pretty good spin, little convection. I'm watching it now.

[M_0331]

Off the subject; when is Steward with NHC? HE was the best in writing up Hurricane discussions.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Off the subject; when is Steward with NHC? HE was the best in writing up Hurricane discussions.

He isn't coming back from Iraq before mid-season 2008.

[M_0331]

Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.

There was a thread here at S2K a while back. Stewart is a Commander in the Naval Reserve, and is with a unit training Iraqi police and soldiers.

[A1A]

Pretty good spin, little convection. I'm watching it now.

Isn't this way too far south to develop?

[Derecho]

Isn't this way too far south to develop?

Tropical cyclones routinely develop much closer to the equator than this thing around the world.

And even in the Atlantic, 9N wouldn't be any sort of record for furthest-south development.

[windstorm99]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 242111
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

[lrak]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 242111
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

Wow, thats informative.

[windstorm99]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 242111
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

Wow, thats informative.

In other words tropics are closed for business for the next 3-5 days atleast in my opinion.Adrian

[HURAKAN]

The TWO's should say "look at the previous update."

[hial2]

Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.

Ah, just for accuracy, Iraq is not in S.W. Asia...

[HURAKAN]

Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.

Ah, just for accuracy, Iraq is not in S.W. Asia...

The Middle East is part of Asia, therefore, Iraq is in SW Asia.

Islam
The second most popular religion in the world and Most people from the middle east follow the religion of Islam like Jordan, Syria, Saudia Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Lebanon, Iraq, Palestine, Afganistan, Pakistan and more.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asia

[Cyclone1]

Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.

Ah, just for accuracy, Iraq is not in S.W. Asia...

Uhh... yes it is.

[cheezyWXguy]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 242111
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

Wow, thats informative.

In other words tropics are closed for business for the next 3-5 days atleast in my opinion.Adrian

uhh...maybe my eyesight is bad or my brain is slow...but im pretty sure 48hours is 2 days and not 3-5...it will likely not develop in the next 2 day, if at all. However, have you seen how low the shear is in the western Caribbean? If it makes it there, it could have a better shot at development

[xironman]

Actually there is a bit of convection now. The models look like it could get a bit moister there.

[M_0331]

quote="M_0331"]Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.[/quote][/quote]

Ah, just for accuracy, Iraq is not in S.W. Asia...[/quote]

The Middle East is part of Asia, therefore, Iraq is in SW Asia.

Islam
The second most popular religion in the world and Most people from the middle east follow the religion of Islam like Jordan, Syria, Saudia Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Lebanon, Iraq, Palestine, Afganistan, Pakistan and more.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asia[/quote]

Thanks for the support on SW asia, you too cyc 1.
It was referred in Gulf War 1 & 2 to by EU CENTCOM as SW Asia as it is in their AOR.

[SouthFloridawx]

quote="M_0331"]Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.

[/quote]
Ah, just for accuracy, Iraq is not in S.W. Asia...[/quote]
The Middle East is part of Asia, therefore, Iraq is in SW Asia.
Islam
The second most popular religion in the world and Most people from the middle east follow the religion of Islam like Jordan, Syria, Saudia Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Lebanon, Iraq, Palestine, Afganistan, Pakistan and more.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asia[/quote]

Thanks for the support on SW asia, you too cyc 1.
It was referred in Gulf War 1 & 2 to by EU CENTCOM as SW Asia as it is in their AOR.[/quote]

Actually your naming a religion, and not a geographic location.

Geography of Asia
Sovereign states
and other territories Afghanistan · Armenia · Azerbaijan1 · Bahrain · Bangladesh · Bhutan · Brunei · Cambodia · China [People's Republic of China (Hong Kong • Macau) · Republic of China (Taiwan) · Cyprus · Egypt1 · Georgia1 · India · Indonesia1 · Iran · Iraq · Israel (see also Palestinian territories) · Japan · Jordan · Kazakhstan1 · Korea (North Korea · South Korea) · Kuwait · Kyrgyzstan · Laos · Lebanon · Malaysia · Maldives · Mongolia · Myanmar · Nepal · Oman · Pakistan · Philippines · Qatar · Russia1 · Saudi Arabia · Singapore · Sri Lanka · Syria · Tajikistan · Thailand · Timor-Leste (East Timor)1 · Turkey1 · Turkmenistan · United Arab Emirates · Uzbekistan · Vietnam · Yemen1
1Transcontinental nations

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Iraq

btw, I know you knew it was in Asia... I'm just not understanding what religion has to do with it.

[hial2]

quote="M_0331"]Ed, thanks for info. I had not idea he was in the southwest Asia area.

Ah, just for accuracy, Iraq is not in S.W. Asia...[/quote]
The Middle East is part of Asia, therefore, Iraq is in SW Asia.
Islam
The second most popular religion in the world and Most people from the middle east follow the religion of Islam like Jordan, Syria, Saudia Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Lebanon, Iraq, Palestine, Afganistan, Pakistan and more.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asia[/quote]

Thanks for the support on SW asia, you too cyc 1.
It was referred in Gulf War 1 & 2 to by EU CENTCOM as SW Asia as it is in their AOR.[/quote]

Actually your naming a religion, and not a geographic location.

Geography of Asia
Sovereign states
and other territories Afghanistan · Armenia · Azerbaijan1 · Bahrain · Bangladesh · Bhutan · Brunei · Cambodia · China [People's Republic of China (Hong Kong • Macau) · Republic of China (Taiwan) · Cyprus · Egypt1 · Georgia1 · India · Indonesia1 · Iran · Iraq · Israel (see also Palestinian territories) · Japan · Jordan · Kazakhstan1 · Korea (North Korea · South Korea) · Kuwait · Kyrgyzstan · Laos · Lebanon · Malaysia · Maldives · Mongolia · Myanmar · Nepal · Oman · Pakistan · Philippines · Qatar · Russia1 · Saudi Arabia · Singapore · Sri Lanka · Syria · Tajikistan · Thailand · Timor-Leste (East Timor)1 · Turkey1 · Turkmenistan · United Arab Emirates · Uzbekistan · Vietnam · Yemen1
1Transcontinental nations

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Iraq

btw, I know you knew it was in Asia... I'm just not understanding what religion has to do with it.[/quote]


I stand corrected...