Iceresistance wrote:vbhoutex wrote:TheBigO wrote:
Cool, thanks amigo. I’ll still keep a close eye on this one, just got a bad vibe, but fortunately since I don’t believe in magic I know the “bad vibe” is nothing more than just nerves.
Sometimes our nerves tell us things we need to listen to. So far all seems to point to Larry staying well away from any US landfall BUT I'm also seeing some chatter from somewhat reliable sources saying "don't place your bets yet!". Or as I say NEVER SAY NEVER! And no I am not -removed- anything!!
With Kate weaker, there is a higher chance that Larry will not be OTS storm since Kate would have weakened the ridge to where Larry can curve OTS, if Larry slows down or even curves in a southerly direction, it will allow the Bermuda ridge to build & force Larry into either the Lesser Antilles, The Bahamas, or the East Coast.
(I really hope that Larry goes OTS, and not pull an Irma or Florence since the models also underestimated the ridge with those 2 storms)
I think it is highly unlikely that Larry will NOT recurve, however it may make it far enough west and threaten Canada late next week.
That said if it takes a WSW dive and goes slower than forecast, then it has a miniscule chance of missing the weakness and the ridge building back in.
Generally the initial models are off with too far west bias besides.
with the exception of the HWRF/HMON not to far off. Ohh Larry 
