TD 24,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[DESTRUCTION5]

Looking like it'll cross west of that... closer to Havana or even the tip. I wouldn't expect much if any weakening. Charley anyone???

I say a bit Weaker and I don't think it will exit in Daytona Brent...

I meant Charley in reference to Cuba. Remember??? Didn't weaken at all.

We're getting way ahead of ourselves though... it's not even forecast to be across Cuba in 5 days...

Agree on both ends...We just seen this to many times..

[krysof]

Looking like it'll cross west of that... closer to Havana or even the tip. I wouldn't expect much if any weakening. Charley anyone???

I say a bit Weaker and I don't think it will exit in Daytona Brent...

I meant Charley in reference to Cuba. Remember??? Didn't weaken at all.

We're getting way ahead of ourselves though... it's not even forecast to be across Cuba in 5 days...

Charley also didn't exactly skirt the edge, it went through the thinest area of Cuba where there are no mountains

[CHRISTY]

The begin of a monster.....

[Brent]

Nice flareup over the LLC.

[MGC]

All signs point to the potential of an intense hurricane in the W Carb in a few days. I can't argue...warm water, low shear. We will have to wait and see if it happens. I am already wondering if the ridge over the GOM is going to retrograte as quickly as expected. The next couple of day would be a good time for a Gulfsteam mission. Western Cuba, Florida Keys and Florida west coast should keep an eye on this one......MGC

[StormFury]

What does the latest long term model guidance suggest? I've seen that the Euro takes it into South Florida earlier today...what about the other models and any updates from the Euro?

[johngaltfla]

so many people are saying eastern gulf, they talking west florida somewhere? Is this something to really gt concerned about here is sarasota? Im 75 miles south of tampa.. considered part of the bay area. Im getting nervous.

Well, I'm local to you so needless to say any October/November hurricane in that area has my full attention.

Especially this season.

[CHRISTY]

for some reason this storm reminds of hurricane irene as far as the future track is concern as of right now...but maybe the big difference about it is it may be much stronger!opinions?

[StormFury]

Gosh! this site is so addictive, I keep pressing refresh every 3 seconds. I am now committing myself to sleep and will take a look tomorrow.

I think this will be a very interesting scenario for Florida, especially the peninsula and keys.

[fasterdisaster]

The begin of a monster.....

It is definitely orgainizing.

[dhweather]

It's scary to think what this will look ike in 12-24 hours. It's developing
nicely, high oceanic heat, no shear, it's got nearly ideal conditions.

[jkt21787]

The begin of a monster.....

It is definitely orgainizing.

Those images ended at 2115z, 5:15 PM EDT. Be sure to look at the current floater...

[artist]

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- TD #24
From: "Andre Marriott-Blake" <sean134 at msn.com>
Date: Sun, 16 Oct 2005 01:36:56 +0000

Hi everyone,
It has been rainy Cats and Dog here in Jamaica for the past couple of days.This has caused Flash Flood Warnings to be posted for The entire island. Thogh t.d 24 is south west of us, it has caused numerouse roads to be impassable,numerous rivers to overflow their banks and many communites flooded. Td 24 has claimed its first life here in Kingston as a man was washed away in his car in Barbican.The current projection is for it to SLOWLY move away from the island,which means that more rain is expected but hopefully no more deaths.Lets just pray that this one fizzles out before it nears Cayman, Cuba or any other land mass.My prayers are with you all,Keep safe.

Andre

from http://www.stormcarib.com

[THead]

It's scary to think what this will look ike in 12-24 hours. It's developing
nicely, high oceanic heat, no shear, it's got nearly ideal conditions.

We knew it was coming, talked about it to death. She's forming in the one area we knew was possible this time of year, to grow a strong TC. Mother nature really knows what she's doing, eh? And the way this season has gone, well lets just wait and see how strong she gets.

[fasterdisaster]

The begin of a monster.....

It is definitely orgainizing.

Those images ended at 2115z, 5:15 PM EDT. Be sure to look at the current floater...

Did that. Still orgaizing.

[Derek Ortt]

not to be nit picky, but Charley did weaken over Cuba, from 105KT to 95KT

[THead]

I'm not naming names, but must people quote pictures all the time, when they're replying with just a few words? I mean c'mon, there's no reason to have the same pic posted 5 times in quoted replies.

[artist]

did anyone notice that the first death has been reported???
really sad....

[jkt21787]

not to be nit picky, but Charley did weaken over Cuba, from 105KT to 95KT

This is true. Many people of course remember the initial NHC advisories which didn't have it as a cat 3 until leaving Cuba and seemingly remaining at a nearly steady state during its passage, but in fact the NHC final report did show it becoming 105 kts at Cuban landfall, and emerging at 95kts.

[fasterdisaster]

I'm not naming names, but must people quote pictures all the time, when they're replying with just a few words? I mean c'mon, there's no reason to have the same pic posted 5 times in quoted replies.

I'm sorry if that annoys you.