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cycloneye
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#201 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 9:45 pm

Image

Look at those strong barbs west of the wave axis.
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#202 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 17, 2006 9:57 pm

wow! That's quite a train lined up over Africa!! Activity is going to SERIOUSLY get popping over the next 2 weeks. You can just feel it in the air. First time I felt that this year....
Yep.........HERE WE GO!!!
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#203 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:19 pm

Image

We've got some SST'S that would support some slow and gradual development of a system moving 10+ kts per hour.
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#204 Postby boca » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:21 pm

Inside Africa these systems look great once they emerge off the coast those ULL will kill whatever develops.
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#205 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:21 pm

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#206 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:24 pm

LSU Image at 2:45 UTC
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#207 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:26 pm

cycloneye wrote:LSU Image at 2:45 UTC


How often does that image update. I know the navy site updates images every 30 minutes.
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#208 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:27 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
cycloneye wrote:LSU Image at 2:45 UTC


How often does that image update. I know the navy site updates images every 30 minutes.


These LSU ones every three hours.
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#209 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:33 pm

boca wrote:Inside Africa these systems look great once they emerge off the coast those ULL will kill whatever develops.


that was then, but the ULL's should start diminishing big time by next week and as climatology shows, the storms will prevail!!! The calendar is all I need to go by and the fact we are going into late August. The ULL's shall be defeated..........
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#210 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:37 pm

00z GFS at 12 Hours

The first salvo from the 00z run.
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#211 Postby boca » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:39 pm

Interesting what looks like a system just off the African coast.
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#212 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:42 pm

00z GFS at 24 Hours

Interesting that apart from the African area GFS starts to jump a little bit on the Caribbean area.
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#213 Postby boca » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:46 pm

Luis I just mentioned that too in the Gulf threat thread just north of Panama 1008 low.
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#214 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:46 pm

00z GFS at 36 Hours
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#215 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:50 pm

00z GFS at 48 Hours
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#216 Postby boca » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:53 pm

Lets see if they try to bomb that low in the Eastrn Atlantic when we get to say 96 hrs.
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#217 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:53 pm

00z GFS at 66 Hours
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#218 Postby boca » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:55 pm

Hey from 48hrs to 66hrs it went from 1011 to 1008mb.
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#219 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2006 11:00 pm

00z GFS at 78 Hours
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#220 Postby boca » Thu Aug 17, 2006 11:06 pm

OOz GFS at 96 hrs.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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