Global Models Thread for 90L

[cycloneye]

60 hours

No basic changes in intensity.

[cycloneye]

78 hours

A little more stronger in 78 hours.

[vacanechaser]

78 hours

A little more stronger in 78 hours.

looks like 1000mb in there



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[southerngale]

Awwww i want the storm to come to me.
I really don't care if its another katrina like storm cause those storms bore me.

I'm assuming you're a kid. You can wish to be in a hurricane all day long... fine, but when you talk about Katrina being boring, you're disrespecting everyone who lost their life and/or home in Katrina.

Show a little respect for the grown-ups, ok?

[cycloneye]

90 hours

1001 mbs

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_090l.gif

We'll see if that weakness turns it a little more north.

[southerngale]

yeah seriously .. here while were at it lets have a individual threads for the cmc , ukmet, nogaps, euro, and all the other ones that will help !

No need for sarcasm there Aric...

I sent a message to luis asking him if he could merge both of the threads together, to make it a little easier. But personally after all the chatter, since that one thread... I thought we were just supposed to make threads if we wanted to. There is always someone whos not happy right?

IMO, that would actually be great, Aric. Then you can read about the models you're interested in and skip the ones you're not. I don't quite understand how it's confusing for a few people when the title tells you what it's about.

Chad went ahead and merged the model threads, but you are right about making a thread for what you, the members, seem "thread-worthy." If it's not an obvious duplicate or doesn't break some other rule, then it's fine. It will either get posts, or fall to the bottom.

[cycloneye]

102 hours

No big change in intensity.Tracking more West to Westnorthwest now.

[cheezyWXguy]

Awwww i want the storm to come to me.
I really don't care if its another katrina like storm cause those storms bore me.

I'm assuming you're a kid. You can wish to be in a hurricane all day long... fine, but when you talk about Katrina being boring, you're disrespecting everyone who lost their life and/or home in Katrina.

Show a little respect for the grown-ups, ok?

I think he was talking about when katrina was a cat 1 in florida...still not the best thing to say, punkyg, as it can be misunderstood

[cycloneye]

114 hours

Getting closer to the Leewards.

[Blown Away]

Do these long range models really mean anything? What's the point w/ these models if they are so unreliable that far out? I heard it gives an "idea", what does that really mean?

[ronjon]

Actually, these long range models will be pretty reliable to about the longitude of the Leeward Islands. Fairly straightforward steering (W-NW) from west Africa to the Leewards under a strong dome of high pressure in the mid-Atlantic ocean.

[storms in NC]

114 hours

Getting closer to the Leewards.

Looks to be pulling a little to the north

[Javlin]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_090l.gif

We'll see if that weakness turns it a little more north.

I take it that you are talking about the gap between the two 588mb lines?

[Scorpion]

114 hours

Getting closer to the Leewards.

Looks to be pulling a little to the north

Not with that ridge atop it

[cycloneye]

138 hours

998 mbs and a hit to Leewards.

[Brent]

144 hours, bearing down on the NE Caribbean, 998 mb

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_144l.gif

[Weatherfreak000]

Given that ridge, this storm ain't going fish at all.


I'm still thinking the GOM track is the most favored, followed by an EC hit.


Bermuda even seems threatened, this storm has a good chance of hitting land at some point in it's life, no doubt.

[wzrgirl1]

in the hebert box?

[cycloneye]

in the hebert box?

According to this 12z GFS run it passes south of 20n-60w.