TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[NorthGaWeather]

dwg what are you basing your prediction on and why?Give us something solid to back up your CLAIM please so we may understand why you think this???

NHC track does not have it making landfall, most models have been trending right. I will eat crow if I must, but I dont see this making to the US.

Trending west again as of 00Z

One run is not a trend...

It wasn't a trend either when they moved right.

[gkrangers]

hahahaha...dwg...you amaze me...you just can't understand that a tropical cyclone will not bust that ridge.....come on..you need to look at overall stuff not model runs...they always move

Elysium says the ridge is extremely weak...so sure it could.

[Ivanhater]

hahahaha...dwg...you amaze me...you just can't understand that a tropical cyclone will not bust that ridge.....come on..you need to look at overall stuff not model runs...they always move

Elysium says the ridge is extremely weak...so sure it could.

haaaaaaaaa

[dwg71]

dwg what are you basing your prediction on and why?Give us something solid to back up your CLAIM please so we may understand why you think this???

NHC track does not have it making landfall, most models have been trending right. I will eat crow if I must, but I dont see this making to the US.

Trending west again as of 00Z

One run is not a trend...

It wasn't a trend either when they moved right.

It was three succesive runs...

[deltadog03]

consecutive runs can be wrong too

[Ivanhater]

tell us why you think it will be a fish without using models?

[dwg71]

hahahaha...dwg...you amaze me...you just can't understand that a tropical cyclone will not bust that ridge.....come on..you need to look at overall stuff not model runs...they always move

I guess the nhc "amazes" you too, because their track does not have it making landfall. You're just smarter than them.

[dwg71]

tell us why you think it will be a fish without using models?

Climo, nhc forecast...

[Ivanhater]

hahahaha...dwg...you amaze me...you just can't understand that a tropical cyclone will not bust that ridge.....come on..you need to look at overall stuff not model runs...they always move

I guess the nhc "amazes" you too, because their track does not have it making landfall. Your just smarter than them.

first off calm down....and the nhc even says they dont see the trough breaking down the ridge

[Ivanhater]

tell us why you think it will be a fish without using models?

Climo, nhc forecast...

go back and read the nhc discussion because i dont see anything in there to make me think fish

[NorthGaWeather]

dwg what are you basing your prediction on and why?Give us something solid to back up your CLAIM please so we may understand why you think this???

NHC track does not have it making landfall, most models have been trending right. I will eat crow if I must, but I dont see this making to the US.

Trending west again as of 00Z

One run is not a trend...

It wasn't a trend either when they moved right.

It was three succesive runs...

Three you say. Well I assume it was a trend, since they moved back left.

[NorthGaWeather]

hahahaha...dwg...you amaze me...you just can't understand that a tropical cyclone will not bust that ridge.....come on..you need to look at overall stuff not model runs...they always move

I guess the nhc "amazes" you too, because their track does not have it making landfall. You're just smarter than them.

It doesn't have it as a fish either.

[deltadog03]

well, i am not going to argue cuz that is childish...anyway, no i don't i just am looking at several things upstream...ridge building...this will not bust it...even nhc says that.

[ALhurricane]

I saw this on another board, so credit goes to RaleighWx.

Here is the latest 37mhz microwave imagery taken just after 22z.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... E=al092005

Sure does look like an eye feature to me. It definitely suggests it is stronger than 50mph.[/url]

[mahicks]

I say keep it running for the record. The game forum one is 2,600 post.

Ditto...
This has been/will be a record breaking season...Might as well let Storm2k break some records too!

[skufful]

Historically (not scientifically) for me, in Beaufort, SC, the models, and the NHC have erred to the South. We have been under the gun so many times only to have the cyclone go further North (Fran, Bertha, Hugo, etc.) Evacuated twice one year, once the next. I know they have gotten better, but I seem to feel comfortable if they aim it right at me or a little north. So now, I am feeling good, at least for the moment.

[NorthGaWeather]

tell us why you think it will be a fish without using models?

Climo, nhc forecast...

This season sure has followed climo well.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like if true this is almost a hurricane. I don't think the nhc would upgrade intill they have the recon.

[CronkPSU]

I saw this on another board, so credit goes to RaleighWx.

Here is the latest 37mhz microwave imagery taken just after 22z.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... E=al092005

Sure does look like an eye feature to me. It definitely suggests it is stronger than 50mph.[/url]

WOW!!! about damn time we finally get an eye to track

[BUD]

It will be interesting to see what the NHC writes on this with the GFDL model shift at 11pm.BUT one thing is our tourism is hurting because Irene out there.Some people have canceled there hotel reservations for next week.