ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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				zeehag
- Tropical Storm 
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
having  been thru  patricia  in  barra de navidad,    i  wish this beast on no one...  intensifying cat 5  canes are something   amazing..  the eye lasted 10 min only and was just enough time to  empty my bilges before more excitement with even stronger winds--the 215 mph  winds were after eye passed.,,most of the  the destruction was after eye passed.   tracking a storm until it hits ye  is a  weird feeling.  especially knowing    the strength of the issue.  there was not a roof left on  more than half the homes in colimilla and the church disappeared as did the large heavy  antique bell  it sported.   vanished without a trace.  
this is horrible for mosquito coast. i hope all lives make it through ok. it is a good thing the eye is tiny. the gawdawful damages will not be as bad as if it were a larger area storm. that was the blessing of patricia as well.
			
									
						this is horrible for mosquito coast. i hope all lives make it through ok. it is a good thing the eye is tiny. the gawdawful damages will not be as bad as if it were a larger area storm. that was the blessing of patricia as well.
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						- Cataegis96
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
8.4 Raw T. Regardless of actual intensity, still a wild achievement there.
			
									
						
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			Lead Meteorologist Mars, Inc
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				CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
No matter what, this is a nightmare scenario for Central America. It doesn't change the threat level there much, especially considering the rainfall threat. Whether winds were 100 mph or 200 mph, they would only affect a small area - and the rain and mudslide threat is extremely high.
			
									
						
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						Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
 
 
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			Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
						https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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				supercane4867
- Category 5 
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Next pass should find a 5 anyway. Expect an update statement soon.
			
									
						
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						Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Cataegis96 wrote:8.4 Raw T. Regardless of actual intensity, still a wild achievement there.
Going up to 8.5 next time lol
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			Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
						https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Official forecast has a Cat 5 at landfall.
			
									
						
		1 likes   
			Irene '11     Sandy '12     Hermine '16     5/15/2018 Derecho     Fay '20     Isaias '20     Elsa '21     Henri '21     Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
						I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
130 knots, but predicted to peak at Cat 5.
			
									
						
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			My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
						- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Good call by NHC imo... Nothing supports a 5 yet but it almost certainly will be one very soon
			
									
						
		1 likes   
			B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
						Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
- SFLcane
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
 
 OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N 85.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
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						Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:130 knots, but predicted to peak at Cat 5.
When's the last time Cat 5 was in the official forecast for a 4?
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			The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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				supercane4867
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Why does this thing look like a damn Super Typhoon?
			
									
						
		2 likes   
			Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
						The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

		5 likes   
			Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
						The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- galaxy401
- Category 5 
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
NHC comments that an EWRC is probably starting in their Discussion from the new Advisory.
			
									
						
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			Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
						- EquusStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Eye temperature continues to skyrocket. Not done yet at all.
			
									
						
		4 likes   
			Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
						Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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				tolakram
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion

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			M a r k
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