MGC wrote:Sure does seem like a lot of S2K members from Louisiana and the central GOM coast are here tonight. I guess we are still paranoid three years later and I can't blame us because I am too. I thought I had it under control but after Katrina that all changed. I will try not to panic till I am in the three day cone. Until then I'll just be overly anxious about Gustav. I am not likeing what I'm seeing tonight with Gustav's IR appearance on satellite. Looks to be becoming better organized and it appears to be an eye developing. I'm thinking that Gus will likely miss or just graze Hati. I'm going with a south of Cuba track, close to the coast. If Gus does indeed track in such a mannor he will be transversing some of the highest ocean heat content in the Caribbean. Shear should be light the next several days. As a result, I would not be surprised if Gustav becomes a major hurricane in the next couple of days. Personally, I'd rather see Gustav track along the entire lenght of Cuba and lose his inner core. Of course Hurricane Fredrick kinda did the same and once he moved off Cuba got his act together........MGC
Of course the above is MGC opinion and not an official forecast.
b]The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
I'm thinking that Gustav will turn more WNW by tomorrow morning and move between Jamicia and the southern coast of Cuba continue moving WNW or just north of due west.Turn more NW once its gets to Western Cuba or it sneaks thru the channel and eventually hits Mobile/Pensecola area as a major 125mph hurricane. I'm basing this forecast on a building high.
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