Texas Winter 2015-2016

[Ntxw]

Let's just cancel winter and move on to spring...

That's how it feels today.

Mid January is the annual winter cancel period. Happens every year here

[Brent]

It is pretty warm outside in the sun today...

But I remember hitting 80 one day in January last year...

FWD on Saturday:

THE FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR
WIDESPREAD LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON SATURDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR AT LEAST A CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER
OF COUNTIES...AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO INDICATE A RAIN-SNOW MIX
ALONG THE RED RIVER. SNOW IS POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH...BUT AT THIS
TIME IT LOOKS LIKE LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR
MOST OF THIS TO MELT AND FALL AS RAIN. IF FUTURE MODEL RUNS
INDICATE A COLDER INTRUSION OF ARCTIC AIR...WE COULD EXTEND THE
CHANCES OF SNOW FARTHER SOUTH. EITHER WAY...IT APPEARS THAT
ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE MINOR.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Let's just cancel winter and move on to spring...

That's how it feels today.

Mid January is the annual winter cancel period. Happens every year here

Ha! Yea, I remember is well last winter.

[wxman57]

I miss my heat miser avatar. If someone lets me host it on his/her web server I'll keep my hand off the thermostat for the remainder of the winter. If not, well, the 18z 114hr GFS panel on Tropical Tidbits will be your big Dallas area snow event for this winter.

Am I hearing this correctly? Winter has been cancelled?

[DougNTexas]

Nada. Change your hearing aid battery. Winter is just getting here.

[wxman57]

Nada. Change your hearing aid battery. Winter is just getting here.

Oh, you just earned some really hot weather for your city the rest of this winter. No snow for you!

[hriverajr]

ouch on both sides

[dhweather]

Nada. Change your hearing aid battery. Winter is just getting here.

I know it's way too early, but might be the post of the year?

[hriverajr]

Nada. Change your hearing aid battery. Winter is just getting here.

I know it's way too early, but might be the post of the year?

I would probably agree.... heheheh

[wxman57]

Nada. Change your hearing aid battery. Winter is just getting here.

I know it's way too early, but might be the post of the year?

You're asking for it, too...

[Yukon Cornelius]

[Tireman4]

Nada. Change your hearing aid battery. Winter is just getting here.

I know it's way too early, but might be the post of the year?

You're asking for it, too...

Man you guys stop. Dadgummit. I swear, remember 2011....sheesh...

[wxman57]

Thank you, Tireman4. I'll let you have some snow in February.

[Ntxw]

I will say this, back in the fall my biggest fear was that the monster El Nino would overwhelm the EPO north pacific warm watesr. So far we haven't seen any 1050+ HP of the past several, nor have the models really shown any on a consistent basis as we have been used to since 2013. Not surprising given the Nino climo but I was hoping for more impressive HP's. The strongest ones have barely cracked 1040hp but this is normal for a typical winter. So thus far the arctic outbreaks have not been that impressive..

[Ntxw]

I miss my heat miser avatar. If someone lets me host it on his/her web server I'll keep my hand off the thermostat for the remainder of the winter. If not, well, the 18z 114hr GFS panel on Tropical Tidbits will be your big Dallas area snow event for this winter.

Am I hearing this correctly? Winter has been cancelled?

You can always use tinypic to host your image like I do

[ravyrn]

I miss my heat miser avatar. If someone lets me host it on his/her web server I'll keep my hand off the thermostat for the remainder of the winter. If not, well, the 18z 114hr GFS panel on Tropical Tidbits will be your big Dallas area snow event for this winter.

Am I hearing this correctly? Winter has been cancelled?

Just upload it to imgur.com

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I will say this, back in the fall my biggest fear was that the monster El Nino would overwhelm the EPO north pacific warm watesr. So far we haven't seen any 1050+ HP of the past several, nor have the models really shown any on a consistent basis as we have been used to since 2013. Not surprising given the Nino climo but I was hoping for more impressive HP's. The strongest ones have barely cracked 1040hp but this is normal for a typical winter. So thus far the arctic outbreaks have not been that impressive..

Tropical forcing is a bit too far east in the Pacific i think. Like you said a few weeks ago, need the Low to be near the Aleutian islands region to pump up the heights to the NW territories. Havent looked at a map of where the Nino anomalies are. We still have a lot of football left for winter though.... Sort of.

[Shoshana]

I miss my heat miser avatar. If someone lets me host it on his/her web server I'll keep my hand off the thermostat for the remainder of the winter. If not, well, the 18z 114hr GFS panel on Tropical Tidbits will be your big Dallas area snow event for this winter.

Am I hearing this correctly? Winter has been cancelled?

My avatar is hosted at Photobucket. It's free

[SouthernMet]

[Ntxw]

I will say this, back in the fall my biggest fear was that the monster El Nino would overwhelm the EPO north pacific warm watesr. So far we haven't seen any 1050+ HP of the past several, nor have the models really shown any on a consistent basis as we have been used to since 2013. Not surprising given the Nino climo but I was hoping for more impressive HP's. The strongest ones have barely cracked 1040hp but this is normal for a typical winter. So thus far the arctic outbreaks have not been that impressive..

Tropical forcing is a bit too far east in the Pacific i think. Like you said a few weeks ago, need the Low to be near the Aleutian islands region to pump up the heights to the NW territories. Havent looked at a map of where the Nino anomalies are. We still have a lot of football left for winter though.... Sort of.

The 500mb pattern actually hasn't been terrible. There just hasn't been persistent cold anomalies in Canada, or much of anywhere in North America (like really cold; -30s and -40s; -20s in Minnesota as the coldest on the continent isn't impressive). Just a lot of warmer air everywhere (probably Nino induced). Big HP's are associated with those big cold anomalies, cause and effect.


GFS still sticking to it's ideas. Between it and the Euro one has to eventually cave, it's only 3 days out.