ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[Dean4Storms]

12z GGEM Ensembles.......120 hour


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... PUS120.gif

[ROCK]

Alright Rock, I'm giving up on this storm if the GFS stays the same at 0z and the 0z Euro shifts east. You agree?

I dont think I ever gave up on a storm before.... STS relax....we dont even have a center for all that is holy...

we are just watching model runs. The EURO 48hrs out is nails though. I see no reason to go against it. Plus the GFS has been HORRIBLE this year. lets watch it develop....

I will be up tonight for the most important EURO run for the year in Texas....

[indian]

is it possible we get a depression tonight...seems to be ramping up quickly?

[ROCK]

18Z HWRF which is about as good as the NAM shows NGOM.....always the right outlier...take it with a grain of salt...

[Dean4Storms]

This is slowly looking more like a North Central to NE Gulf Coast event. I wishcast it to TX because this is going to ruin my weekend with Family coming to visit!!

[South Texas Storms]

Alright Rock, I'm giving up on this storm if the GFS stays the same at 0z and the 0z Euro shifts east. You agree?

I dont think I ever gave up on a storm before.... STS relax....we dont even have a center for all that is holy...

we are just watching model runs. The EURO 48hrs out is nails though. I see no reason to go against it. Plus the GFS has been HORRIBLE this year. lets watch it develop....

I will be up tonight for the most important EURO run for the year in Texas....

Yep. I agree that tonight's Euro run will be the most important run for Texas this year. I'm either going to go to bed feeling very happy, or very sad. Why do I feel like it's going to be sad?
Any thoughts on what the Euro might do tonight Rock?

[Frank P]

""INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DISTURBANCE...""

Yeah, I know TX needs rain and I hope they get it but we need rain in MS too.... not sure where this is going to go but at least someone should get some decent rain this weekend... should be interesting along the Gulf Coast this weekend...

[Ivanhater]

Here we go!

INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DISTURBANCE.

[ROCK]

Alright Rock, I'm giving up on this storm if the GFS stays the same at 0z and the 0z Euro shifts east. You agree?

I dont think I ever gave up on a storm before.... STS relax....we dont even have a center for all that is holy...

we are just watching model runs. The EURO 48hrs out is nails though. I see no reason to go against it. Plus the GFS has been HORRIBLE this year. lets watch it develop....

I will be up tonight for the most important EURO run for the year in Texas....

Yep. I agree that tonight's Euro run will be the most important run for Texas this year. I'm either going to go to bed feeling very happy, or very sad. Why do I feel like it's going to be sad?
Any thoughts on what the Euro might do tonight Rock?

I dont have a clue......but I will take a xanax before the run though....

[CrazyC83]

Whoa that was a surprise! Hope this goes west and not east!

[southerngale]

12z GGEM Ensembles.......120 hour


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... PUS120.gif

It's not showing up. Please upload it, then post it. Thanks!

[Tireman4]

I am done. I waiting on the W storm. Back OT!!

[Turtle]

NHC put the tropical thing at 60% now. So far the rain chances have been going lower and lower for me. Getting depressed.

On a happy note: NWS forcasting a high in the 80s next Wednesday!

[South Texas Storms]

I am done. I waiting on the W storm. Back OT!!

You've given up on this now Tireman?

[ROCK]

60% was a surprise...but I guess its close enough that it was warranted.....low level turning looks more NW moving with the convection sheared off to the NE....as always we watch for center relos.....

[Tireman4]

I am done. I waiting on the W storm. Back OT!!

You've given up on this now Tireman?

Goodness gracious yes. I am wanting the first snowstorm. I live for falling flakes and frigid temperatures...

[Ivanhater]

18z GFDL is interesting



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[CYCLONE MIKE]

Wow, haven't been on here as much because I was in Florida on vacation and get home today to find a high chance of a developing storm making its way this away. Don't know if its has been posted today or not but I found this on our local NWS homepage just a little while ago. It is the local hazard page that shows the N.O. marsh fires and related smoke, which by the way is all in our air here in Gonzales. If I didn't know any better would think we had a major wildfire in our parish. Anyway it is a map of the predicted rainfall through monday. Already showing up to 10 inches across deep south LA including New Orleans. About 5-6 in my area. Only should go up as the system organizes more.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/graphicast.php?site=lix&gc=2

[Ivanhater]

Looking at the GFS and Euro solutions stalling this out for days, I think this is a case where the GFDL and HWRF models will not be very helpful

[South Texas Storms]

I am done. I waiting on the W storm. Back OT!!

You've given up on this now Tireman?

Goodness gracious yes. I am wanting the first snowstorm. I live for falling flakes and frigid temperatures...

What!? You said to wait until Friday?