2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
MadaTheConquistador
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 16
Age: 20
Joined: Thu Jan 09, 2025 4:58 pm

Re: 2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

#221 Postby MadaTheConquistador » Wed Apr 02, 2025 3:33 pm

AnnularCane wrote:I was kind of hoping for Malcolm personally. Not sure why...I guess I must like it. :lol:

I see lol, there would be some funny Malcolm In The Middle memes if Milton's replacement was Malcolm instead of Miguel.
1 likes   

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2410
Age: 29
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: 2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

#222 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Apr 02, 2025 3:38 pm

About what I expected. I wasn't sold on Debby being retired and Oscar and Rafael only had small chances.

Also they just replaced John with another 4 letter J name. :lol:
3 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2835
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: 2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

#223 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Apr 02, 2025 3:38 pm

MadaTheConquistador wrote:
AnnularCane wrote:I was kind of hoping for Malcolm personally. Not sure why...I guess I must like it. :lol:

I see lol, there would be some funny Malcolm In The Middle memes if Milton's replacement was Malcolm instead of Miguel.



Oh yeah, I didn't think about that. lol It's been a while since I've seen that show.
1 likes   
"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs

User avatar
Ulf
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 14
Joined: Sun Nov 03, 2024 9:32 pm

Re: 2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

#224 Postby Ulf » Wed Apr 02, 2025 7:15 pm

Debby escapes getting axed likely because it reached Canada as a remnant after passing through the US rather than as a direct landfall.

Helene's replacement name, Holly, used to be on the list and had been used twice before in 1969 and 1976. The name was dropped when the WMO Hurricane Committee introduced the current system of six lists that include male names in 1979.
5 likes   

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3168
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: 2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

#225 Postby Teban54 » Wed Apr 02, 2025 8:27 pm

GSBHurricane wrote:
Torino wrote:I think Debby wasn't retired simply because the system that hit Canada wasn't really Debby anymore.

Wasn't that the case with Fiona as well?

I'd say Fiona is more similar to Sandy, while Debby is more similar to Lee (2011), just in different countries.

Sandy and Fiona were clearly advertised as a post-tropical cyclone with that specific name, during preparation, impact and aftermath. Local residents knew they were dealing with Fiona, and everyone clearly attributed all damages it caused to the name Fiona itself. Whether the system was tropical or post-tropical was purely academic at that point.

In contrast, while I'm not sure how exactly Debby's impacts were portrayed in the Canadian media, but with Lee, by the time it brought impacts to northeastern US where it caused the most damage, the public didn't think of them as due to Lee anymore. In their view, the storm had long since dissipated and the NHC had stopped issuing advisories days prior. The impacts felt no different from an average unnamed extratropical low with heavy rainfall; this time, the purely academic point was that the system was even associated with Lee in the first place.

This is not to say that a landfall advisory is needed for the name to be retired. The floods and mudslides in Costa Rica that caused Nate's retirement was already ongoing when the storm was named, and the storm's center was already pulling away from the country without ever making landfall there. Dora was retired largely because the media and scientists suspected that it contributed to the Hawaiian wildfires, even though the causal effect is still debated. But in both cases, there's a higher degree of media association between the name and the impacts (just that it came late for Nate), than there was for Lee in northeastern US and likely Debby in Canada.
2 likes   

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3168
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: 2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

#226 Postby Teban54 » Wed Apr 02, 2025 8:37 pm

Aside:

With Dora, Otis and John retired in the 2023-2024 EPAC seasons, this marks the first time that three EPAC names were retired within a span of 2 years. Previously, at most 2 EPAC names were retired in any two consecutive years (many examples), and it took at least 3 years to retire three names (Manuel 2013, Odile 2014, Patricia 2015).

Of course, much of this was due to 2023 being the first EPAC season to retire two names.
3 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2038
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

Re: 2024 Cyclone Retirements (Breaking ATLC: Beryl, Helene, Milton; EPAC: John)

#227 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Apr 03, 2025 2:22 pm

Teban54 wrote:Aside:

With Dora, Otis and John retired in the 2023-2024 EPAC seasons, this marks the first time that three EPAC names were retired within a span of 2 years. Previously, at most 2 EPAC names were retired in any two consecutive years (many examples), and it took at least 3 years to retire three names (Manuel 2013, Odile 2014, Patricia 2015).

Of course, much of this was due to 2023 being the first EPAC season to retire two names.


1997 also had two retirees, so there were three names were retired from 1995 (Ismael) to 1997 (Pauline/Paka). But good point about the three from 2023-2024 being a record.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cycloneye, Teban54 and 66 guests