ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2241 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:42 pm

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2242 Postby FireRat » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:44 pm

It's scary to think Harvey is exploding in strength 36 hours prior to landfall. Wow, if for some reason the storm were to speed up a little more, there might not be enough time for an eyewall replacement cycle and he could strike at peak intensity. Gonna be a nail-munching day tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2243 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:45 pm

Whew.

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2244 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:45 pm

Dry air is already mixing out as a large burst is working its way around the northern eyewall and overshadowing the eye.

Shouldn't slow down its strengthening for long if there are already some hot towers going up in the eyewall.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2245 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:47 pm

KWT wrote:Dry air is already mixing out as a large burst is working its way around the northern eyewall and overshadowing the eye.

Shouldn't slow down its strengthening for long if there are already some hot towers going up in the eyewall.

This will always shake off any dry air that becomes entrained into the circulation as long as those hot towers continue to fire around the eyewall.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2246 Postby NDG » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:47 pm

Pressure down to 977mb per latest VDM
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2247 Postby GCANE » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:48 pm

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2248 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:49 pm

Eye drop had 977 mb with 10 kt surface winds, so good for 976 mb.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2249 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:50 pm

Blown Away wrote:[mg]http://i.imgur.com/sAIIPxa.gif[/img]
Little dry slot wrapping into center... Looks NW to me...


Agreed. Microwave imagery in the past 5-8 hours that that Harvey has indeed been dealing with dry air entrainment. Hopefully it stunts the rapid intensification.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2250 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:51 pm

NDG wrote:Pressure down to 977mb per latest VDM


Impressive considering it probably has gulped some drier air into the circulation, of course that was a very brief thing and its soon fired that back off again.

Anyway pretty quick strengthening still, suspect we will soon be in major hurricane territory, then it really is just a question of how far do we go down?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2251 Postby GCANE » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:52 pm

WOW

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2252 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:55 pm

18:37z

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2253 Postby hurricaneCW » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:56 pm

Harvey is a small cane right now so he's more susceptible to dry air intrusions, which could halt strengthening but at the same time makes him more likely to reintensify quickly.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2254 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:58 pm

Just a quick question, is there any good websites that are streaming the news about this at the moment? Appreciate it maybe a little early for 24hrs round coverage.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2255 Postby hd44 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 1:59 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Eye drop had 977 mb with 10 kt surface winds, so good for 976 mb.


This storm (hurricane force wind is small) ... this is highly likely to rapidly intensifying due to that.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2256 Postby Taylormae » Thu Aug 24, 2017 2:00 pm

I understand this is several days out but what, if any, effects will reach Pensacola, FL? Wondering how prepared we should be.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2257 Postby TexWx » Thu Aug 24, 2017 2:00 pm

KWT wrote:Just a quick question, is there any good websites that are streaming the news about this at the moment? Appreciate it maybe a little early for 24hrs round coverage.



Yes, this.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2258 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 24, 2017 2:01 pm

Its about that time. Looks like an eye is about to clear out shortly.


Also its unlikely that was dry air intrusion.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2259 Postby MaineWeatherNut » Thu Aug 24, 2017 2:01 pm

It's not news coverage but Mark Sudduth is there going to be streaming.

I'm unable to log in to his Membership area on his site but he's going to be streaming on uStream and Youtube.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#2260 Postby hd44 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 2:03 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Its about that time. Looks like an eye is about to clear out shortly.


Also its unlikely that was dry air intrusion.


Perhaps sinking air due to the increasing eye wall organization.
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