ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

[Myersgirl]

Hanna sure is blowing by the NHC forecast points, correct me if I'm wrong each one is 12 hours. Hanna sure is not stalling.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

SHE ALSO APPEARS SOUTH OF THE GUIDANCE

[Blown Away]

Hurricane watch/warning needed for Cuba?

[cpdaman]

this storm is producing very large waves already (has had a good wind field for days) and could produce a large surge IMO later in the week

my biggest concern is in the carolina's with wind and surge as of current thinking /models/trends/climo

[tolakram]

Florida caught between two flows.

[captain east]

Florida caught between two flows.

Does that mean Hanna has a chance to go right through Florida?

[tolakram]

Does that mean Hanna has a chance to go right through Florida?

No Captain, relax, it's just a neat observation of the lower level winds.

[Sanibel]

OK, upon better look on visible the cloud top center is near the first trop point at 22.9N-72.8W Direction is mostly west so if the center is co-located with the LLC it is mostly west.

The frenetic wobble of the CDO is most likely intensification jerks. Which would be likely with those cold tops.

Whether coincidence or not - when Gus was strong Hanna was weak and when Hanna was strong Gus was weak.

[HURAKAN]

Sorry Hanna to be late but here is your graph!

[masaji79]

Just goes to show what can happen in a short time. When I left for work Hanna was a 50mph tropical storm and now she's a hurricane. Hopefully she doesn't intensify too much over the Gulf Stream before heading inland.

[RL3AO]

URNT12 KNHC 011858
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL082008
A. 01/18:34:10Z
B. 22 deg 14 min N
072 deg 16 min W
C. 850 mb 1299 m
D. 58 kt
E. 132 deg 28 nm
F. 211 deg 074 kt
G. 132 deg 035 nm
H. 984 mb
I. 16 C/ 1533 m
J. 20 C/ 1523 m
K. 19 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF301 0208A HANNA OB 16
MAX FL WIND 74 KT SE QUAD 18:23:00 Z
BROAD WIND AND PRESSURE CENTER WITH FLATTER GRADIENT THAN PREVIOUS FIXES

[cpdaman]

OK, upon better look on visible the cloud top center is near the first trop point at 22.9N-72.8W Direction is mostly west so if the center is co-located with the LLC it is mostly west.

The frenetic wobble of the CDO is most likely intensification jerks. Which would be likely with those cold tops.

Whether coincidence or not - when Gus was strong Hanna was weak and when Hanna was strong Gus was weak.

recon fix's do NOT support westward motion.(SSE/SE drift) .....also she is steady state as of last couple hours

URNT12 KNHC 011858
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL082008
A. 01/18:34:10Z
B. 22 deg 14 min N
072 deg 16 min W
C. 850 mb 1299 m
D. 58 kt
E. 132 deg 28 nm
F. 211 deg 074 kt
G. 132 deg 035 nm
H. 984 mb
I. 16 C/ 1533 m
J. 20 C/ 1523 m
K. 19 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF301 0208A HANNA OB 16
MAX FL WIND 74 KT SE QUAD 18:23:00 Z
BROAD WIND AND PRESSURE CENTER WITH FLATTER GRADIENT THAN PREVIOUS FIXES

also her NE side is building convection as it is out of the gustav shear streak (that is over the west 2/3 of storm)

[AdamFirst]

Sorry Hanna to be late but here is your graph!

You may have a tie at 11 PM tonight...Ike will be announced and the wave off Africa may be Josephine sooner than later

[chrisnnavarre]

Florida caught between two flows.

Does that mean Hanna has a chance to go right through Florida?

More concerned about her slipping under Florida and transiting into the Gulf of Mexico. Trend of the UKMET is west, and that model has been pretty good so far this year. I just wish someone would explain to me how she's going to transit north? I thought there was a blocking high in place along the east coast.

[storms in NC]

Because We need rain It will not come my way. I can put a steak dinner on it.
But My mom told me last week that Tx needed rain they got it. Fl need rain they got it.(I think the did) NOW we need rain for the past 2 years now. She said we may be next in line. I hope she is right.
I still having a hard time buying the Ga-SC hit. If I had to say I would put the Middle to upper part of SC would be my best guess. Come on Hanna we could use your rain big time.
Yes I know you are all tried of hearing that.

Talking about food it is time for good old NC BBQ Chicken. Later

[jlauderdal]

Florida caught between two flows.

subsidence today, its nice was just out by the pool taking a break before another week at least of watching hurricanes

[CronkPSU]

BROAD WIND AND PRESSURE CENTER WITH FLATTER GRADIENT THAN PREVIOUS FIXES

what does that mean?

[cpdaman]

i think this matches the SE trend of center fixes per recon

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... g&itype=ir

[SWFLA_CANE]

i think this matches the SE trend of center fixes per recon

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... g&itype=ir

Maybe she is begining her loop like on HWRF.

[bob rulz]

If this thing ever really starts to develop significantly with a clear eye, it will be monstrous. Not only could it eat Florida, it would eat any chunk of the East Coast it decides to hit.

[fci]

Sorry Hanna to be late but here is your graph!

Click it up to 9 with Ike