ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

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paintplaye
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2281 Postby paintplaye » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:12 pm

This is a good link to why it is still going west.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200805_radar.html#a_topad
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Stormcenter
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2282 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:14 pm

paintplaye wrote:This is a good link to why it is still going west.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200805_radar.html#a_topad


Actually that's not a good example. It almost looks like he puts on the brakes at the end of that loop. :lol:
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Sean in New Orleans
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#2283 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:15 pm

Looks like we'll get some more squalls later on tonight in New Orleans. That's fine. We need the rain. That squall that came through earlier produced some very, very heavy rain in Mid-City for about 5 minutes, then it slowed for about 10 minutes and then it picked back up real good for another 10 minutes.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... X&loop=yes
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Re:

#2284 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:16 pm

Bailey1777 wrote:Thanks Wxman57 hurricane party at your place tonight right?


Nope, at the office tomorrow. Cookies & brownies! Should be a lot less busy during landfall than in the days before. Have a couple cameras with me. I'm thinking minimal to moderate TS winds most likely around Houston, a bit more along the west side of Galveston Bay and near the coast. Even if it makes hurricane strength, I don't think any obs will register over around 65 sustained.
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#2285 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:16 pm

The satellites on the NHC website blacked out during the worst possible time. Good thing the NHC isn't the only one w/ satellite images.
Edouard looks impressive for a TS tonight. If he can maintain convection tonight, chances for a Cat-1 tomorrow could go up.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2286 Postby AMeyerRN » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:17 pm

quick shot out my front door..... facing the NW just outside of Baton Rouge

Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2287 Postby Over my head » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:18 pm

Looks to me like Ed has to wiggle northwest every so often... or else there's no way he'd hit the Houston /Galveston mark. Doing just what the official track says he's fixing to do so far. :wink:
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Re:

#2288 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:18 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:The satellites on the NHC website blacked out during the worst possible time. Good thing the NHC isn't the only one w/ satellite images.
Edouard looks impressive for a TS tonight. If he can maintain convection tonight, chances for a Cat-1 tomorrow could go up.


It should be close enough to LCH radar in a few more hours to follow it from there. I still can't see the center on LCH or LIX radar, too far away.
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#2289 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:22 pm

Image

Still working.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2290 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:24 pm

It would be nice to get some bands or into the rain-shield of Edouard tonight as we could use the rain. Currently it's breezy, more than usual for an August evening indicating we have low pressure offshore.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2291 Postby ktulu909 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:25 pm

As usual Bob Breck is throwing out alarmist forecasts attempting to make a huge deal about this slight wobble to the northeast.Gotta love it.
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Derek Ortt

#2292 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:26 pm

chances of a hurricane, while not unrealistic, are only about 5-10% now. I do not see a scenario where this exceeds 70KT
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Sean in New Orleans
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2293 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:26 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:It would be nice to get some bands or into the rain-shield of Edouard tonight as we could use the rain. Currently it's breezy, more than usual for an August evening indicating we have low pressure offshore.

It was very breezy all day today in New Orleans...it was clear that there was a system in the Gulf....clouds moving real fast and we even got a squall around 1:00, I would say. The squalls this evening were much more intense.
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#2294 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:27 pm

i would say a bit of dry air has found its way back to the south side..
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3ABirdMan
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2295 Postby 3ABirdMan » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:28 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:3ABirdMan,

I'll offer a detailed breakdown.
.....................
Hopefully, I helped...

Miami



YES - You did. Thanks for the fast, thorough, and detailed answers!
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2296 Postby txag2005 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:28 pm

Any strengthening expected by the 10 pm advisory?
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hwego7

Re: Re:

#2297 Postby hwego7 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:29 pm

wxman57 wrote:Even if it makes hurricane strength, I don't think any obs will register over around 65 sustained.
Is this because the NHC would make a mistake in overstating the winds or that the measurement instrument would be flawed?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2298 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:30 pm

txag2005 wrote:Any strengthening expected by the 10 pm advisory?
Considering the 61 knot FL winds found by recon, it is definitely possible that the NHC will decide to up the wind speeds at 10mph.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2299 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:30 pm

txag2005 wrote:Any strengthening expected by the 10 pm advisory?


not unless something drastic changes..

althought recon on its last pass had at 61 kt FL ..

so who know there is still that intense band on the north side..
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#2300 Postby Bailey1777 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:30 pm

I think he meant in Houston.
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