NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2341 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:22 am

Teban54 wrote:150 kt FL in the NW quad on the way out. FWIW, there's a 177 kt SFMR.

If this was 2019, they would call this storm at 165-170 knots
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2342 Postby Beef Stew » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:22 am

If Melissa is able to remain sub-900 mb at landfall, she'll only be the second Atlantic storm on record to do so, and the first in over 90 years.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2343 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:23 am

Recon has been circling in the eye for over 30 minutes now, that turbulence must have been rough!!!!
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2344 Postby mcheer23 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:24 am

syfr wrote:Anyone have ideas what the storm will look like on the other side of Jamaica?

What will Cuba be facing, Cat III?



4.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2345 Postby Teban54 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:25 am

syfr wrote:Anyone have ideas what the storm will look like on the other side of Jamaica?

What will Cuba be facing, Cat III?

The NHC's official forecasts call for a 120 kt Cat 4 just south of Cuba.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2346 Postby weeniepatrol » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:26 am

:double: :double: :double: :double: :double:

Image
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2347 Postby zzzh » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:26 am

dropsonde 893mb/13kt
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= Winds up to 180 mph

#2348 Postby Travorum » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:26 am

Dropsondes, get your dropsondes here! 893mb with 13kt winds!
Last edited by Travorum on Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2349 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:26 am

892 mb dropsonde!!!
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2350 Postby kevin » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:27 am

Dropsonde supports 892 mb!
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2351 Postby Keldeo1997 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:27 am

Tied 1935
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2352 Postby kevin » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:28 am

Also the dropsonde still has 94% RH. The eye is still completely healthy all the way up until landfall.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2353 Postby Beef Stew » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:28 am

Dropsonde supports 892... absolutely stunning...
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2354 Postby Teban54 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:28 am

The dropsonade has established the legitimacy of the AF plane's extrap readings, so if they do another eye pass (praying that they can do so safely), it may give greater credence to such readings.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2355 Postby Beef Stew » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:31 am

Lets see if AF can get one more pass in...
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2356 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:34 am

If the forecast is right, Black River and Santa Cruz look to be getting hammered. I hope everyone has evacuated those areas if possible.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2357 Postby grapealcoholic » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:35 am

[prediction]
886 peak
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2358 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:35 am

I teach high school journalism, so I will turn on streaming from news today for this historic tragedy.

What are the best streams/news coverage?

I follow Josh.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2359 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:35 am

NOAA is flying toward the storm again. Maybe they were getting ready.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2360 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:35 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:If the forecast is right, Black River and Santa Cruz look to be getting hammered. I hope everyone has evacuated those areas if possible.


There is no opportunity for the forecasts to fail at this point.
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