Texas Winter 2022-2023

[Iceresistance]

If anyone remember the 2009 models, were they similar to what it is now in terms of storm setup and Arctic blast?

[Cpv17]

I think we’ve about reached the time where globals slowly lose the cold. Gonna have to use the Hi-res for temps.

[Portastorm]

It is definitely a bit "chilly" in the Yukon and Alaska, as models had predicted. Nothing too extreme, though. I'm afraid my wall may not hold.

One of the things I enjoy this time of year is watching your Storm2K avatar transition. It's a beautiful thing.

[wxman57]

It is definitely a bit "chilly" in the Yukon and Alaska, as models had predicted. Nothing too extreme, though. I'm afraid my wall may not hold.

One of the things I enjoy this time of year is watching your Storm2K avatar transition. It's a beautiful thing.

I have no idea what you're talking about. I've always loved cold weather.

[Yukon Cornelius]

I just purchased the Ambient Weather WS-2000 weather station off Amazon. I hope it’s a good one. I read a lot of reviews and this is supposedly the best one. Though I’m bummed out it’s not coming before Thursday. Not supposed to get it till Saturday. Oh well. Signed up for the Amazon card and got $150 off my order. Not too shabby.

That’s the one I’ve had for a few years now. It’s a great one and has been through hell numerous times and super strong winds and has never failed.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Getting a mix of sleet and rain on 1488 in Magnolia

[Quixotic]

If anyone remember the 2009 models, were they similar to what it is now in terms of storm setup and Arctic blast?

It wasn’t as strong of an airmass. 2009-10 was homegrown cold from NW NA.

[Tireman4]

It is definitely a bit "chilly" in the Yukon and Alaska, as models had predicted. Nothing too extreme, though. I'm afraid my wall may not hold.

One of the things I enjoy this time of year is watching your Storm2K avatar transition. It's a beautiful thing.

I have no idea what you're talking about. I've always loved cold weather.

Oh no. Here we go again. The impending cold weather has knocked out his data processing unit. Now, we have entered ( pay attention newbies), the Twilight Zone ( or Weird and Weirder..LOL)

[Brent]

If anyone remember the 2009 models, were they similar to what it is now in terms of storm setup and Arctic blast?

It wasn’t as strong of an airmass. 2009-10 was homegrown cold from NW NA.

Christmas 2009 also apparently had severe weather here a few hours before the blizzard and I think temps were barely cold enough more traditional of a snowstorm

As for the snow here on Thursday I've never been fully convinced on a snowstorm anyway. I've always suspected the cold air would probably be hard to be topped but the stupid GFS runs burying us didn't help and made me wonder

Its not over yet but yeah

[wxman57]

All the 12Z operationals & ensembles are in. This is for downtown Houston. GFS (green) and UKMET (red) are the warm outliers. Canadian (blue/blue dashed) and ICON are the cold outliers. I think the EC, EC ens, and GFS ensembles may be closer to reality. Not cold enough for me, but it'll have to do. I plan on a long bike ride on Friday (shorts & short sleeve jersey). Should be a nice, brisk 25-29 degrees with a 25-35 mph wind. Quite pleasant.

[TropicalTundra]

All the 12Z operationals & ensembles are in. This is for downtown Houston. GFS (green) and UKMET (red) are the warm outliers. Canadian (blue/blue dashed) and ICON are the cold outliers. I think the EC, EC ens, and GFS ensembles may be closer to reality. Not cold enough for me, but it'll have to do. I plan on a long bike ride on Friday (shorts & short sleeve jersey). Should be a nice, brisk 25-29 degrees with a 25-35 mph wind. Quite pleasant.

http://wxman57.com/images/Models12Z19.JPG

Ride uphill against the wind and you'll have monster calves in no time

[weatherdude1108]

All the 12Z operationals & ensembles are in. This is for downtown Houston. GFS (green) and UKMET (red) are the warm outliers. Canadian (blue/blue dashed) and ICON are the cold outliers. I think the EC, EC ens, and GFS ensembles may be closer to reality. Not cold enough for me, but it'll have to do. I plan on a long bike ride on Friday (shorts & short sleeve jersey). Should be a nice, brisk 25-29 degrees with a 25-35 mph wind. Quite pleasant.

http://wxman57.com/images/Models12Z19.JPG

Could you do one for Austin, if you don't mind. Just curious what it shows. I'm prepared to cover hose bibs/let drip, cover plants, open cabinets, etc. I'll be here until Christmas mid-morning when we leave for an overnight trip. So am here for the strongest of the Siberian invasion at least.

[Cpv17]

I just purchased the Ambient Weather WS-2000 weather station off Amazon. I hope it’s a good one. I read a lot of reviews and this is supposedly the best one. Though I’m bummed out it’s not coming before Thursday. Not supposed to get it till Saturday. Oh well. Signed up for the Amazon card and got $150 off my order. Not too shabby.

That’s the one I’ve had for a few years now. It’s a great one and has been through hell numerous times and super strong winds and has never failed.

Awesome! That’s good to know. I just hope it’s easy to use and setup cuz I’m not too smart when it comes to setting up these things lol

[weatherdude1108]

I just purchased the Ambient Weather WS-2000 weather station off Amazon. I hope it’s a good one. I read a lot of reviews and this is supposedly the best one. Though I’m bummed out it’s not coming before Thursday. Not supposed to get it till Saturday. Oh well. Signed up for the Amazon card and got $150 off my order. Not too shabby.

That’s the one I’ve had for a few years now. It’s a great one and has been through hell numerous times and super strong winds and has never failed.

Awesome! That’s good to know. I just hope it’s easy to use and setup cuz I’m not too smart when it comes to setting up these things lol

I'd love to get one of those things! The thing is I don't have a good area to set up the anemometer (too many trees), unless it's on the roof, which may be impractical, and too hard to install (I'm not good at installing these kinds of things). What about hail? Wonder how strong they are(?). Crossed my mind. Also, would need my "boss's" blessing to do it.lol I have a cheaper ACURite that has temp and humidity, with a built-in barometer which predicts weather in your backyard up to 18 hours, based on your particular air pressure in your yard. She's not a fan of large poles in the backyard. Let us know how it is when you get it!

[orangeblood]

If anyone remember the 2009 models, were they similar to what it is now in terms of storm setup and Arctic blast?

Not really...this 500 mb setup is different, the main difference being the block over Hudson Bay was much stronger in 2009. This allowed the ULL to deepen over the southern plains and stall over central US. The weaker block now is allowing this storm to cut up to the lakes.

Bottom line, the southern plains needs a stronger block over Hudson Bay (2009) and/or southeast ridge (Feb 2021) to allow a storm to slow/deepen over our part of the world. We just don't have that this time around, bummer because this cold air is really potent!

[Iceresistance]

If anyone remember the 2009 models, were they similar to what it is now in terms of storm setup and Arctic blast?

Not really...this 500 mb setup is different, the main difference being the block over Hudson Bay was much stronger in 2009. This allowed the ULL to deepen over the southern plains and stall over central US. The weaker block now is allowing this storm to cut up to the lakes.

Bottom line, the southern plains needs a stronger block over Hudson Bay (2009) and/or southeast ridge (Feb 2021) to allow a storm to slow/deepen over our part of the world. We just don't have that this time around, bummer because this cold air is really potent!

There is still room for a surprise as the PNA is absolutely refusing to become positive.

[Iceresistance]

Not to derail this, but there is a severe thunderstorm watch for



Hawaii.

[orangeblood]

If anyone remember the 2009 models, were they similar to what it is now in terms of storm setup and Arctic blast?

Not really...this 500 mb setup is different, the main difference being the block over Hudson Bay was much stronger in 2009. This allowed the ULL to deepen over the southern plains and stall over central US. The weaker block now is allowing this storm to cut up to the lakes.

Bottom line, the southern plains needs a stronger block over Hudson Bay (2009) and/or southeast ridge (Feb 2021) to allow a storm to slow/deepen over our part of the world. We just don't have that this time around, bummer because this cold air is really potent!

There is still room for a surprise as the PNA is absolutely refusing to become positive.

I just don't think that's going to do it...without the southeast US ridge creating enough resistance for this storm to slow down and deepen further southwest. Need a lot of ingredients to come together this far south and this setup just doesn't have all of them.

Also, more bad news..The Euro Ensembles are going to a Pacific Blow Torch pattern to start the New Year (Strongly Positive EPO)

[Ralph's Weather]

Not to derail this, but there is a severe thunderstorm watch for



Hawaii.

Winds gusting over 100mph and thunder snow for Mona Lea

[orangeblood]

Yikes, Heat Miser got ahold of this New Years Pattern