NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2361 Postby Sunnydays » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:47 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OTRQNgqnEg0

Agenda Free tv live on youtube showing some amazing live cameras throughout the island.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2362 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:48 am

Beef Stew wrote:Center pass from NOAA coming up any minute now.


We will get under Labor Day's 892 landfall for the all-time basin record?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2363 Postby GCANE » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:49 am

Eye saturated up to about 780mb.
Never seen it this high before.
Usually saturates around 850mb.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/r ... 8-1302.png
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2364 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:49 am



Poor little town of Black Water.
I believe Melissa now has the third lowest pressure ever recorded in the Atlantic after Wilma and Gilbert.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2365 Postby aspen » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:49 am

I’m still in shock. 892-891 mbar and still about an hour out. Jamaica needs all our prayers and then some.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2366 Postby zal0phus » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:50 am

Never in a million years did I think Milton would be surpassed so soon. I wonder if this is what the 1932 Cuba hurricane was like. Desperately hoping the best for Jamaica; at least Kingston won't face a direct hit or northeast quad hit
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2367 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:51 am

I just woke up and see a pressure of 893!!! :double:
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2368 Postby Teban54 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:51 am

For an island whose strongest landfall in record history was a high-end Cat 3 (Gilbert), I cannot imagine how Jamaica could even wrap their heads around a sub-900 mb landfall, only the second time in the entire basin. Prayers...
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2369 Postby Beef Stew » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:53 am

Data from Kermit should be in any minute now
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2370 Postby GCANE » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:53 am

Over 700' drop in elevation in a few seconds in recon.
Momentarily weightless and breakfast less.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2371 Postby LarryWx » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:55 am

Teban54 wrote:For an island whose strongest landfall in record history was a high-end Cat 3 (Gilbert), I cannot imagine how Jamaica could even wrap their heads around a sub-900 mb landfall, only the second time in the entire basin. Prayers...


Lowest on record in Jamaica is 958 mb (1951’s Charlie). Next is 960 mb (Gilbert 1988).
Last edited by LarryWx on Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2372 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:55 am

173 KT FL
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2373 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:55 am

892.5 extrap on P3 Orion
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2374 Postby Travorum » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:55 am

173kt FL winds, wow.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2375 Postby TheHurricaneGod » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:55 am

Image
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2376 Postby kevin » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:56 am

NOAA center pass: 892.5 mb extrapolated pressure, 173 kt FL wind.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2377 Postby aspen » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:57 am

173 kt FL holy cow.

Think this is 892/160 now. Unbelievable.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2378 Postby kevin » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:57 am

173 kt FL is a guarantee to keep its 155 kt intensity. But it might even be sufficient to bump it to 160 kt considering how well Melissa is mixing its FL wind down to the surface.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2379 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:59 am

Pretty consistent extrapolated pressure of 892-893 from two recons with dropsonde support from AF plane. Should see it drop a few MB.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2380 Postby FireRat » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:00 am

Holy cow!!! I cannot believe what I'm waking up to, SUB 900 landfall!!? No way, this is the Atlantic's Haiyan - are we seriously tying 1935, or even beating the 892 mb landfall!? :crazyeyes:

Melissa might just be the mother of all landfalling Atlantic hurricanes, prayers for Jamaica!!
Last edited by FireRat on Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:00 am, edited 1 time in total.
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