TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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Nimbus
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#2381 Postby Nimbus » Sat Aug 13, 2005 10:15 am

The convection is still getting blown off to the west but the LLC is still moving.
Glad she hasn't stalled yet, makes the forecasting easier.
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Sanibel
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#2382 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 13, 2005 11:39 am

Irene was a simple trough/recurve senario.

I don't know who DT is but he sounds like he needs to go back to meteorology school.


Like Franklin and Harvey, the west Atlantic is breeding only small weak storms...
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#2383 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 12:09 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:hehe, I wasn't around last year, but I could imagine what it would have been like with all of the intense Florida canes!

Oh man. The poor server tried its best, but it couldn't take it, making the board really slow. It was pretty active, to say the least.
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#2384 Postby gkrangers » Sat Aug 13, 2005 1:07 pm

Sanibel wrote:Irene was a simple trough/recurve senario.

I don't know who DT is but he sounds like he needs to go back to meteorology school.


Don't make uneducated statements like that..please..
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#2385 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 1:46 pm

Scorpion wrote:We have had soo many borderline TS/hurricanes this year its driving me nuts. Arlene,Cindy,Franklin,Harvey, and now Irene!!


I know! techniquely we should be at 9-7-2 not 9-2-2...
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#2386 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 1:56 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:We have had soo many borderline TS/hurricanes this year its driving me nuts. Arlene,Cindy,Franklin,Harvey, and now Irene!!


I know! techniquely we should be at 9-7-2 not 9-2-2...


so I take it that if Irene upgrades to hurricane status it would be 9-3-2?
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#2387 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 1:59 pm

hey everyone...hey, guys..just got home from work...is irene moving WNW?? is that where the LLC is??
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#2388 Postby gkrangers » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:06 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:
wxwatcher91 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:We have had soo many borderline TS/hurricanes this year its driving me nuts. Arlene,Cindy,Franklin,Harvey, and now Irene!!


I know! techniquely we should be at 9-7-2 not 9-2-2...


so I take it that if Irene upgrades to hurricane status it would be 9-3-2?
Yes.

9 named storms, 3 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes. IF Irene makes hurricane status..it may not.
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#2389 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:09 pm

I remember somebody quoting DT saying the ridge would definitely take Irene west and towards the coast.
Last edited by Sanibel on Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2390 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:09 pm

Can some one post a good Sat image of Irene and possibly enlighten me on what she has been doing the last day or so because I haven't really been on in a while?
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#2391 Postby gkrangers » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:13 pm

Sanibel wrote:I remember somebody quoting DT saying the ridge would definitely take Irene west and towards the coast.
And busting a forecast means he needs to go back to meteorology school? Hes given indepth discussions on why he was wrong, etc...

Made a big call and he blew it. Wasn't the first, won't be the last.
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artist
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#2392 Postby artist » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:21 pm

astro - if you will click on storm2k's home page you will find all the graphics and satellite pics you could ever need! :D
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#2393 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:24 pm

I see you haven't been on in a while. Something like 4 posts since I *saw* you two days ago.
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#2394 Postby superfly » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:25 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:We have had soo many borderline TS/hurricanes this year its driving me nuts. Arlene,Cindy,Franklin,Harvey, and now Irene!!


I know! techniquely we should be at 9-7-2 not 9-2-2...


I think we should be at 9-4-2. I really think Irene had hurricane winds last night when she had deep convection. I also think Cindy had hurricane winds at landfall (I live in New Orleans and we definitely got hurricane gusts). I'm pretty confident the rest weren't though.
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#2395 Postby storms in NC » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:26 pm

she still hasn't turned yet. Still going NW
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#2396 Postby gkrangers » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:27 pm

superfly wrote:
wxwatcher91 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:We have had soo many borderline TS/hurricanes this year its driving me nuts. Arlene,Cindy,Franklin,Harvey, and now Irene!!


I know! techniquely we should be at 9-7-2 not 9-2-2...


I think we should be at 9-4-2. I really think Irene had hurricane winds last night when she had deep convection. I also think Cindy had hurricane winds at landfall (I live in New Orleans and we definitely got hurricane gusts). I'm pretty confident the rest weren't though.
There is really no hard evidence Irene made it.

Cindy however...Recon and surface obs may support an upgrade in best track?
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#2397 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:29 pm

WindRunner wrote:I see you haven't been on in a while. Something like 4 posts since I *saw* you two days ago.


well that is a while to me
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#2398 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:32 pm

here is a recon reported position of Irene in the VDM from yesterday and the latest position in the latest VDM today.

approximately 22 hours apart.

12/20:23:10Z 28 deg 32 min N 067 deg 15 min W
13/18:29:50Z 30 deg 53 min N 069 deg 22 min W

if my math is correct, between these two points Irene has moved 318 degrees or just N of NW. NW is 315.
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#2399 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:35 pm

gkrangers wrote:
superfly wrote:
wxwatcher91 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:We have had soo many borderline TS/hurricanes this year its driving me nuts. Arlene,Cindy,Franklin,Harvey, and now Irene!!


I know! techniquely we should be at 9-7-2 not 9-2-2...


I think we should be at 9-4-2. I really think Irene had hurricane winds last night when she had deep convection. I also think Cindy had hurricane winds at landfall (I live in New Orleans and we definitely got hurricane gusts). I'm pretty confident the rest weren't though.
There is really no hard evidence Irene made it.

Cindy however...Recon and surface obs may support an upgrade in best track?


I don't get it they say that out of these to systems (Arlene, and Cindy) they say That Cindy was the better system.

but Arlene had a lower central pressure (989 millibars) then Cindy (997 millibars). Why was Cindy the better system?

Arlene Track
Cindy Track
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#2400 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:53 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:
WindRunner wrote:I see you haven't been on in a while. Something like 4 posts since I *saw* you two days ago.


well that is a while to me


a while to me is 3 hours or more because it is the amount of time between the models and the advisory meaning I must of missed one of them :wink:
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