Possible tropical System Forming in the Bahamas?

#241 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:23 pm

vorticity?

Here we go folks!!!

I can't believe it but look what is happening...!!!

#242 Postby **feederband** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:23 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:All I see is a cold core extratropical system. Storm cancled.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #243 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:24 pm

The sst's are around 23 to 24c under this to cold to form a cyclone.

CHRISTY · #244 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:24 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:

BEAR WATCH!

you guys are to much!

Stratosphere747 · #245 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:25 pm

A pro met has already discussed it....Maybe his thoughts have changed, though I doubt it.

MiamiensisWx · #246 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:26 pm

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A BEAR WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

STORM2K

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED AN AREA OF INTEREST CAPABLE OF AROUSING FRENZIED ACTIVITY, POTENTIAL -removed-, TROPICAL FEVER, AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION IF THE SUPPOSED "AREA UNDER WATCH" DOES NOT DEVELOP. ALL STORM2K RESIDENTS MUST BE UNDER HIGHTENED ALERT! THIS IS A VERY SERIOUS SITUATION!

:lol:

#247 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:26 pm

I don't this we have had this many people on this board in April ever?

Do we have an official record for that now? :lol:

#248 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:27 pm

LOL

#249 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:28 pm

I wonder if this thread will break 100 pages :cheesy:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #250 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:28 pm

The shear is 30 to 50 knots over this system...The the fact that the shear is not decreasing.,,I give this .0000001 percent chance of the nhc upgrading it.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

Lets wait intill June. Or Mid May for us Eastern Pacific hunters. :cheesy:

#251 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:28 pm

negative Matt -

Shear is forecasted to relax to 20K in 24 hours....

CHRISTY · #252 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:29 pm

boca_chris wrote:negative Matt -

Shear is forecasted to relax to 20K in 24 hours....

shear is not that bad in the next couple of days take a look...

#253 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:30 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The shear is 30 to 50 knots over this system...The the fact that the shear is not decreasing.,,I give this .0000001 percent chance of the nhc upgrading it.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

Lets wait intill June. Or Mid May for us Eastern Pacific hunters.

So you're saying you're giving this thing a chance to develop??? WOW Matt!!!

MiamiensisWx · #254 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:30 pm

skysummit wrote:I wonder if this thread will break 100 pages

Will we get a record? I am actually serious that it might happen!

:eek:

#255 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:31 pm

I know I said we shouldn't a lot of images but, this is my take on this area iin question.

I really like to get a pro mets opinion also before people start to draw conclusions about this "system". I just don't see conclusive evidence that there is in fact and area of low pressure there. I do see some sort of circulation but, I don't see any west winds to complete it. Also to mention I do think the waters are too cool for any type of tropical formation.

The cyclone phase and analysis page does show what they are the discos are talking about with the closed off circulation.

I just see way too much shear and also SST's are too low.

Also to note if by some slim chance something develops at the lower levels it will not be heading towards florida as the stearing flow would send it southwesterly.

MiamiensisWx · #256 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:31 pm

skysummit wrote:So you're saying you're giving this thing a chance to develop??? WOW Matt!!!

Have you ever seen this much fun this time of year?

meteorologyman · #257 Postby **meteorologyman** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:32 pm

Has a storm ever develop in April before? If not this could be our 1st.

CHRISTY · #258 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:32 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:I know I said we shouldn't a lot of images but, this is my take on this area iin question.

I really like to get a pro mets opinion also before people start to draw conclusions about this "system". I just don't see conclusive evidence that there is in fact and area of low pressure there. I do see some sort of circulation but, I don't see any west winds to complete it. Also to mention I do think the waters are too cool for any type of tropical formation.

The cyclone phase and analysis page does show what they are the discos are talking about with the closed off circulation.

I just see way too much shear and also SST's are too low.

Also to note if by some slim chance something develops at the lower levels it will not be heading towards florida as the stearing flow would send it southwesterly.
[img]
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dlm1.GIF[/img]

shear is suppose to relax in the next couple of days....

#259 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:33 pm

skysummit wrote:I wonder if this thread will break 100 pages

If something happens meaning getting better organized enough to get an invest there will be a new thread that will be made.

#260 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:33 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
skysummit wrote:So you're saying you're giving this thing a chance to develop??? WOW Matt!!!

Have you ever seen this much fun this time of year?

LOL...In know...I might break 3000 posts before May

Possible tropical System Forming in the Bahamas?

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