Reporting live from 99L

mike815 · #242 Postby **mike815** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 10:24 am

99L whats wrong with u this morn? earlier this morn u were getting stronger and now your weaker whats bothering u?

#243 Postby **terstorm1012** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 10:25 am

maybe he needs head-on.

though that's a pretty big forehead.

cheezyWXguy · #244 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 10:27 am

actually if you look at the avn, you can see the large blob in front of it isnt moving, while 99L is moving toward it... and appears to be absorbing it...

Aric Dunn · #245 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 10:52 am

I still neeed to break away from the ITZC and the boundry/ trof that is inhibiting me from closeing of my circulation.. is still there on the sw side ..so i can not close off the circulation and is limiting the converence needed to develope more convection .. so go ahead and tell everyone . what i said ... but i am going to make it..

Aric Dunn · #246 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:22 am

well feel free to ask me anyting.... if you feel your not getting a answer in the other treads..

HurricaneHunter914 · #247 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:27 am

99L I hope you get better today. And where do you plan to make landfall if the ridge holds strong?

Cyclenall · #248 Postby **Cyclenall** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:27 am

Are you sure you won't run into South America? It's getting close.

#249 Postby **storms in NC** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:29 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:99L I hope you get better today. And where do you plan to make landfall if the ridge holds strong?

Ridge is to weaken.

HurricaneHunter914 · #250 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:30 am

Yeah, but it won't probably weaken enough for a possible fish storm though.

Aric Dunn · #251 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:33 am

storms in NC wrote:
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:99L I hope you get better today. And where do you plan to make landfall if the ridge holds strong?

Ridge is to weaken.

Yes the ridge is to weaken but i think that i will stay W to WNW for a while because there is nothing no Trof to move me north the steering in all levels is to the W or WNW.....

Aric Dunn · #252 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:33 am

Cyclenall wrote:Are you sure you won't run into South America? It's getting close.

nope no S america

MiamiensisWx · #253 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:35 am

The mid-level ridging over the west-central Atlantic is currently weakening due to the intrusion of an upper-level to mid-level trough over the eastern and northeastern U.S., which may result in a slight west-northwest deviation of some of INVEST 99L's convection and a possible reformation of the main low area, but the deviation may not be very substantial.

#254 Postby **storms in NC** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:35 am

if you stay WNW you will miss SA and not get hurt LOL

Aric Dunn · #255 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:41 am

CapeVerdeWave wrote:The mid-level ridging over the west-central is currently weakening due to the intrusion of an upper-level to mid-level trough over the eastern and northeastern U.S., which may result in a slight west-northwest deviation of some of INVEST 99L's convection and a possible reformation of the main low area, but the deviation may not be very substantial.

that may be all fine and dandy but i still dont have a completly closed LOW to start with.. im working on it.. there is still a boudry/trof/ITCZ that is on my SW side that is not allowing me to close off completly which is one of the reason why my convection is very minima..

#256 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:41 am

once ou enter the caribbean where will you go?

Aric Dunn · #257 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:44 am

fact789 wrote:once ou enter the caribbean where will you go?

I would say a gradual turn WNW throught the Carrib then More NW as i approach the Western carribean .. that is of course the trof forcast to exit the east coast does not cause a bigger weakness in the ridge allowing me to turn more northerly sooner.. i may still go through the Northern islands

HurricaneHunter914 · #258 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:45 am

Just don't pull another Charley on us. :wink:

Aric Dunn · #259 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:48 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Just don't pull another Charley on us.

its very intrested you say that.. i liked charlies track.. and im in a very simialr set up and enviroment .. has he was

HurricaneHunter914 · #260 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jul 29, 2006 11:49 am

I would like a Charley track, but please keep the strength under 150 mph at landfall.

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