Ex Invest 95L

[Regit]

Everyone,

There has already been a moderator asking to get the conversation back on topic. The topic is 95L Sat Pics, Models, and Analysis.

Consider this a warning to drop all the side chat and open criticism of other members. Future off-topic posts will be deleted. If you have a problem with any posts, contact the staff.

[Derek Ortt]

Shannon,

I am not sure that the advanced degree requirement is in place any longer, at least not at the hurricane specialist level (GS 11-13). Maybe for the senior specialist level (14)

[DrewFL]

From the 8:05:


A
1014 MB LOW IS OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE WITH A SEA BREEZE INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO OVER THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS.


that's where the NHC says this baby low is located.

[cpdaman]

from the 8:05 pm ?

[DrewFL]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2250.shtml?

[windstorm99]

Went out and took some pics today of a thunderstorm right before it moved over my house which most probably is being caused by 95L in the vicinity...

[dixiebreeze]

95L Plot map:

http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php

[artist]

[pojo]

Shannon,

I am not sure that the advanced degree requirement is in place any longer, at least not at the hurricane specialist level (GS 11-13). Maybe for the senior specialist level (14)

I was just trying to get my point across that the people at the NHC are highly specialized in their field and don't use Recon to check out every little blob that circulates in the ATL basin. They have specific reasons on why Recon is scheduled.

[CrazyC83]

No need to take a Recon into this blob. There is no way it is anywhere near being a tropical depression. If it develops (unlikely), it will be long after it passes Florida and as it starts to move into the open Atlantic.

[cycloneye]

Shannon,you can rest and enjoy the 4th holiday.But for sure later on things will heat up and you will be up there many times.

[WindRunner]

No need to take a Recon into this blob. There is no way it is anywhere near being a tropical depression. If it develops (unlikely), it will be long after it passes Florida and as it starts to move into the open Atlantic.

Right as it gets picked up by the front?

[CrazyC83]

No need to take a Recon into this blob. There is no way it is anywhere near being a tropical depression. If it develops (unlikely), it will be long after it passes Florida and as it starts to move into the open Atlantic.

Right as it gets picked up by the front?

The front itself is more likely to develop into something at this point...95L doesn't look good at all.

[flwxwatcher]

No need to take a Recon into this blob. There is no way it is anywhere near being a tropical depression. If it develops (unlikely), it will be long after it passes Florida and as it starts to move into the open Atlantic.

Right as it gets picked up by the front?

The front itself is more likely to develop into something at this point...95L doesn't look good at all.

Yep... will be watching off and on next week along the trough to see if anything tries to develope

..

[cpdaman]

moisture is increasing off of the treasure coast of florida

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

maybe some broad turning like ARIC alluded to earlier off of brevard associated with this shower/t'storm activity

not saying development will occur but just an fascinating observation to me

[Recurve]

Pressure trending down off Miami

[NDG]

Pressure trending down off Miami

One to two MB drop compared to 24 hrs ago, I would call that barely trending down in the short term, and at least 4-5 MB drops in 24 hrs is what I would look for any signs of development.

[windstorm99]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 010217
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT JUN 30 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING NORTHWARD FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
HAVE MOSTLY DIMINISHED. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE HIGH IN THIS AREA
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB

[Cyclone1]

It may not be tropical cyclone worthy, but man I just saw one the most amazing lightning shows I've ever seen in Fort Meade. Got some awesome footage.

[cpdaman]

guys anyone notice the low pressure off of brevard county i take it this is 95L?